report July 27, 2021 MYANMAR: Further down the rabbit hole The military-appointed electoral commission yesterday formally nullified the outcome of the 8 November 2020 election that was won overwhelmingly by Aung San Suu Kyi's party, the National League for Democracy (NLD). Two weeks ago, the commission said it had... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report July 27, 2021 MACRO: Policy responses to Covid-19 Below is our weekly summary table on the health and economic policies that selected governments around the world are implementing to counter the fallout from Covid-19. The updated table includes information about each country's vaccination strategy. Please do not... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report July 27, 2021 LATAM PULSE This week, after prolonged uncertainty, Peru gets a new left-wing president. Venezuela's President Nicolas Maduro is sending mixed messages about possible talks with the opposition. In Brazil, President Jair Bolsonaro is expected to appoint a "Big Center" figure to... By Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson Teneo
report July 26, 2021 WEEKLY POLITICAL COMPASS US and Chinese officials held high-level face-to-face talks. South Africa's president is under pressure to tackle social unrest. Pedro Castillo will be sworn in as Peru's new president. Meanwhile, the US s ecretary of state will meet India's prime... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report July 26, 2021 SOUTH AFRICA: Ripple effects of unrest President Cyril Ramaphosa is under massive pressure to tackle the fallout from nine days of unprecedented unrest and looting by cleaning up the party and cabinet. Although the government's initial security response to the mayhem was too little too... By Anne Frühauf Teneo
report July 26, 2021 POLAND/HUNGARY: Rule of law dispute could bear financial consequences Hungary and Poland could see further delays in the approval of their national recovery and resilience plans due to rule of law and anti-corruption concerns in both countries. Faced with substantial financial penalties, Budapest and Warsaw would be more... By Andrius Tursa Teneo
report July 23, 2021 EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Graph... By Andrius Tursa, Antonio Barroso, Carsten Nickel, Luis Cornago Teneo
report July 23, 2021 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: Third pandemic wave hits hardest Sub-Saharan Africa remains in the grip of a fresh Covid-19 wave stretching health services and forcing some governments to re-impose at least limited restrictions. Following major supply disruption in Q2, the region's vaccine pipeline for the remainder of 2021... By Anne Frühauf, Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report July 23, 2021 UK: A test case for the downside risks of vaccination success UK pandemic politics point to the downside risks that might be associated with a quick vaccine roll-out. The UK has been faster, more efficient, and the vaccine has been accepted by a larger share of the population than in... By Carsten Nickel Teneo
report July 23, 2021 SOUTHEAST ASIA: What to watch over the next two weeks Indonesia is showing signs of epidemiological improvement, but the data nationally are uneven and there is a risk that the gradual easing of community restrictions planned for 26 July may be too early. Thailand, Malaysia, and Vietnam are in... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report July 23, 2021 INDIA: Pegasus scandal unlikely to hinder Modi’s ability to govern Much of the business in the lower house (Lok Sabha) of India's parliament has remained suspended for the third day running following outrage over the revelation that many public leaders, including some who have recently become ministers, were targets... By Aditi Phadnis Teneo
report July 23, 2021 BRAZIL: Bolsonaro’s return to his Big Center origins is the new normal Faced with dire electoral prospects in the polls and a Senate inquiry into the pandemic that will not cut him some slack, President Jair Bolsonaro has taken to threatening Brazil's democracy on a regular basis. Of lately, he has... By Mario Marconini Teneo
report July 23, 2021 GREECE: Infection surge dominates daily political agenda The resurgence of the pandemic dominates the political agenda, reducing the prospects of a cabinet reshuffle and/or snap elections by year-end. The reform of the supplementary pension system is likely to secure the required parliamentary approval by the end... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report July 21, 2021 EMERGING MARKETS: Covid-19 Vaccination Strategies and Challenges Our Covid-19 vaccination table includes updated information on the immunization strategies selected EMs are pursuing and the challenges they face. Below are some of this week's key developments. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report July 21, 2021 GERMANY: Flood catastrophe – electoral implications After last weekend's flood catastrophe in western parts of the country, much of the commentary has focused on comparisons with similar events in 2013 and in 2002, and their effects on the elections in these years. There is a... By Carsten Nickel Teneo
report July 21, 2021 RUSSIA: Taking first steps towards carbon accounting and regulation While a new greenhouse gas emissions law marks a first step towards creating a national emissions accounting and regulating framework, nascent climate policies leave a lot of uncertainty for businesses. Russia's heavy industry companies - which have most at... By Andrius Tursa Teneo
report July 21, 2021 MACRO: Policy responses to Covid-19 Below is our weekly summary table on the health and economic policies that selected governments around the world are implementing to counter the fallout from Covid-19. The updated table includes information about each country's vaccination strategy. Please do not... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report July 19, 2021 WEEKLY POLITICAL COMPASS Last weekend's floods could have political repercussions in Germany. The visit of Turkey's president to Northern Cyprus could create tensions with the EU over the divided island. Meanwhile, Indonesia's government has extended Covid-19 restrictions, Serbian and Kosovar leaders wil...... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report July 19, 2021 INDONESIA: Next week could be key in effort to bring down cases The government is expected to extend the emergency restrictions on public activities (PPKM Emergency), which are scheduled to end on 20 July, by another 14 to 21 days. The measures cover Java and Bali, as well as 15 other... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report July 19, 2021 ASIA: Weekly politics update Below is the weekly update of political developments across East Asia. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. CHINA: Xi's coal message signals willingness to make... By Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, Tobias Harris Teneo
