Africa July 23, 2021 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: Third pandemic wave hits hardest Sub-Saharan Africa, Politics Anne Frühauf, Malte Liewerscheidt Sub-Saharan Africa remains in the grip of a fresh Covid-19 wave stretching health services and forcing some governments to re-impose at least limited restrictions. Following major supply disruption in Q2, the region’s vaccine pipeline for the remainder of 2021 has... Read More...
March 6, 2020 Malte Liewerscheidt Malte Liewerscheidt Malte Liewerscheidt is a Vice President with Teneo based in London. He is an experienced country risk analyst examining political, economic, regulatory and security risks affecting organisations investing and operating in sub-Saharan Africa.... Read More...
Africa July 15, 2021 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: Eurobond Political Risk Monitor Sub-Saharan Africa, Emerging Markets, Politics Eurobonds, editorial Anne Frühauf, Malte Liewerscheidt Our Eurobond Political Risk Monitor, presented in the attached table, provides a go-to guide to the main political and policy issues in 17 sub-Saharan African (SSA) sovereigns that have issued Eurobonds as of July 2021. In this edition, our’Spotlights’... Read More...
Africa July 13, 2021 COTE D’IVOIRE: Bedie and Gbagbo solidify their alliance Cote d'Ivoire, Politics Malte Liewerscheidt Over the weekend, former presidents Laurent Gbagbo (76; 2000-2011) and Henri Konan Bedie (87; 1993-1999) met at Bedie’s rural estate in Douakro. The former arch enemies’ very public meeting solidifies an opposition alliance that has been in the making... Read More...
Africa July 6, 2021 NIGERIA: Southern governors draw lines in the sand on PIB, presidency Nigeria, Politics Malte Liewerscheidt Even though both houses of the National Assembly passed the notorious Petroleum Industry Bill (PIB) last week, there is a potentially protracted period of suspense in the offing before a harmonized version emerges for President Muhammadu Buhari to sign.... Read More...
Africa June 29, 2021 NIGERIA: More suspense regarding Buhari’s succession Nigeria, Politics Malte Liewerscheidt President Muhammadu Buhari continues to kick the question regarding his own succession down the road by extending the mandate of the All Progressives Congress (APC)’s care-taker committee by another six months. Accordingly, the date of the first national party... Read More...
Africa June 25, 2021 CAMEROON: What happens if Biya dies? Cameroon, Politics CPDM Malte Liewerscheidt Talk about the succession of President Paul Biya (88), at the helm since 1982 and currently serving his seventh term until 2025, is strictly forbidden in Cameroon. While Biya has not groomed an obvious heir apparent, the path to... Read More...
Africa June 23, 2021 COTE D’IVOIRE: Gbagbo back, questions remain Cote d'Ivoire, Politics Malte Liewerscheidt Following the return of former president Laurent Gbagbo (2000-2011) last week, important questions concerning his political future remain unanswered. Chief among those is what kind of arrangement Gbagbo secured from President Alassane Ouattara concerning his pending prison sentence. In... Read More...
Africa June 15, 2021 KENYA: Modest budget, but downside risks loom large Emerging Markets, Kenya, Politics Malte Liewerscheidt The budget presented to parliament last week appears modest, given that 2022 is an election year. However, the proposal carries considerable downside risks on both the revenue and expenditure fronts. If these materialize, Kenya may be forced to request debt restructuring... Read More...
Africa April 21, 2021 CHAD: President’s death raises specter of civil war Chad Malte Liewerscheidt On 20 April, Chadian army officials announced that President Idriss Deby had succumbed to injuries sustained while commanding his troops repelling a rebel incursion in the north of the country. The army subsequently declared a provisional military government with... Read More...
