Despite offering few details on the mechanism linking European Union (EU) funding with the rule of law, the recent deal on the 2021-2027 budget and recovery fund still raises the probability of financial penalties to countries with perceived rule of law deficiencies, most notably Hungary and Poland.… Read the rest
Author: Andrius Tursa
- Targeted EU sanctions against individuals in President Alexander Lukashenko’s regime are symbolic and will, as such, not affect regime stability.
- As Russia seems well-positioned to retain its influence in Belarus regardless of the regime’s future, this increases the chances of preventing another escalation with Moscow.
With Russia’s support, the disputed President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko looks likely to cling onto power for now. The stability of Bulgaria’s government will be tested by resurgent protests and parliament’s position on the constitutional changes proposed by Prime Minister Boyko Borisov.… Read the rest
A worsening epidemiological situation across the CEE is prompting governments to tighten sanitary measures and reimpose restrictions on cross-border travels, economic and public activities. However, Romania is bucking the regional trend and reopening restaurants, theaters, and cinemas on 1 September.… Read the rest
Intensifying crackdown on opposition politicians, journalists and anti-corruption activists suggests that Russian authorities might be seeking to suppress the remaining voices of dissent. Romania’s main opposition Social Democratic Party tabled a motion of no confidence against the Ludovic Orban’s cabinet ahead of election of new party leader on 22 August.… Read the rest
Andrius Tursa helps Teneo’s clients navigate political risks in Central and Eastern Europe and Russia.
Andrius has been working as a political risk consultant since 2012. Some of his previous clients include Eurasia Group, IHS Markit, Fitch Solutions and the Economist Intelligence Unit.… Read the rest
Serbia has launched a controversial investigation into the financing of civil society organizations critical of the government. In Bulgaria, Prime Minister Boyko Borisov is seeking appease continuing public discontent by reshuffling the government and rolling out new economic support measures.… Read the rest