March 6, 2020 Andrius Tursa Andrius Tursa Andrius Tursa helps Teneo’s clients navigate political risks in Central and Eastern Europe and Russia. Andrius has been working as a political risk consultant since 2012. Some of his previous clients include Eurasia Group, IHS Markit, Fitch Solutions and the... Read More...
Europe May 25, 2021 BELARUS: An increasingly brash Lukashenko regime poses multiple risks to Europe EU, Belarus, Politics Lukashenko Andrius Tursa The brazen arrest of a dissident journalist Roman Pratasevich reflects an increasingly restrictive and unpredictable political environment in Belarus, which will continue to pose multiple risks in Europe.The European Union’s (EU) sanctions will hurt the Belarusian aviation sector but... Read More...
Europe May 18, 2021 POLAND: Ambitious recovery package aims to revert the decline of United Right Poland, Politics Andrius Tursa The government’s ambitious post-pandemic recovery plan is an attempt to recover public support after a challenging year marked by the pandemic and recurring fractures within the United Right coalition. New spending initiatives could slow down fiscal consolidation... Read More...
Europe June 3, 2021 EUROPE: CEE PULSE Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics Andrius Tursa The mounting suspicions of corruption will likely hurt the center-right Citizens for the European Development of Bulgaria (GERB) in the July elections. Latvia’s Prime Minister Krisjanis Karins went ahead with the anticipated cabinet reshuffle, while the Czech government is... Read More...
Europe May 20, 2021 EUROPE: CEE PULSE Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics Andrius Tursa A summit between the US and Russian presidents in mid-June seems increasingly likely. Local elections in Croatia reaffirm the ruling party’s strength. A cabinet reshuffle in Latvia may take place after the municipal elections scheduled for 5 June. Meanwhile,... Read More...
Europe May 6, 2021 EUROPE: CEE PULSE Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics Andrius Tursa Against the backdrop of a swiftly improving epidemiological situation, countries across Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) are easing Covid-19 restrictions. Bulgaria is heading to snap parliamentary elections in July, while a referendum on dissolving parliament and holding an early, general poll... Read More...
Europe April 28, 2021 RUSSIA: Subsiding tensions do not eliminate risks abroad and at home Politics, Russia, Ukraine editorial Andrius Tursa Russia’s pullback of troops deescalates tensions along the border with Ukraine, but the situation remains volatile. Diplomatic efforts to advance the resolution of the conflict in Donbas are expected to intensify in the coming months. At home, the Kremlin will continue... Read More...
Europe April 16, 2021 RUSSIA: US sanctions could escalate tensions with Ukraine Politics, Russia, Ukraine editorial Andrius Tursa The new restrictions imposed by the US on 15 April will not significantly affect the Russian economy or its public finances but will push relations between Moscow and Washington to a new nadir. In response, Moscow could step up... Read More...
Europe April 15, 2021 RUSSIA: Sabre-rattling might prove counterproductive for Moscow Politics, Russia, Ukraine Andrius Tursa The proposed US-Russia bilateral summit might help deescalate tensions in eastern Ukraine but will not bring a political solution to the conflict in Donbas. Moscow’s saber-rattling appears counterproductive on the international front but could provide a temporary respite at... Read More...
Europe April 8, 2021 RUSSIA/UKRAINE: Renewed war with Ukraine would bring few benefits to Moscow Politics, Russia, Ukraine Andrius Tursa Russia’s saber-rattling near Donbas and Crimea is likely driven by Kyiv’s actions against pro-Kremlin figures/entities in Ukraine, the growing tensions between Moscow and the West as well as domestic pressures within Russia. However, a major escalation of the conflict with... Read More...
