Europe February 15, 2021 SLOVENIA: Jansa likely to survive no-confidence vote Slovenia, Politics Andrius Tursa The center-right coalition government led by Prime Minister Janez Jansa (Slovenian Democratic Party, SDS) will likely survive the motion of no confidence scheduled for 15 February. The vote’s outcome will increase the probability of the SDS-led cabinet lasting until... Read More...
March 6, 2020 Andrius Tursa Andrius Tursa Andrius Tursa helps Teneo’s clients navigate political risks in Central and Eastern Europe and Russia. Andrius has been working as a political risk consultant since 2012. Some of his previous clients include Eurasia Group, IHS Markit, Fitch Solutions and the... Read More...
Europe February 24, 2021 RUSSIA: Vaccine diplomacy overshadows domestic immunization campaign Emerging Markets, Politics, Russia vaccines Andrius Tursa Russia is relying on vaccine diplomacy to bolster its reputation abroad amid deteriorating relations with the West and looming threat of sanctions. Low public trust in domestic vaccines from Covid-19, their production bottlenecks and Moscow’s focus on vaccine diplomacy hamper... Read More...
Europe February 4, 2021 RUSSIA: Navalny’s sidelining weakens both opposition and Putin Emerging Markets, Politics, Russia Navalny Andrius Tursa The sentencing of the Kremlin critic Alexey Navalny leaves the country’s opposition without its most effective leader. While the protest momentum will likely fade amid limited prospects to achieve political change and repressive measures used by authorities, it could... Read More...
Europe January 11, 2021 VISEGRAD FOUR: Weakened by Covid-19, incumbents brace for difficult 2021 Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics covid-19 Andrius Tursa The approval ratings... Read More...
Europe February 10, 2021 CEE: 17+1 summit reaffirms dwindling appeal of Chinese investment Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics Andrius Tursa Enthusiasm for the 17+1 cooperation format with China is waning among the EU members in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) due to unfulfilled investment pledges, and rising concerns over security and geopolitical pressures.… Read the rest ... Read More...
Europe March 5, 2021 EUROPE: CEE PULSE Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics Andrius Tursa The Fidesz party’s departure from the European People’s Party (EPP) group in the European Parliament (EP) will weaken Hungary’s leverage in the EU and limit space for dialogue with key members of the bloc.… Read the rest... Read More...
Europe February 25, 2021 EUROPE: CEE PULSE Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics Andrius Tursa Multiple countries in CEE are experiencing a surge in Covid-19 cases, which is mostly associated with the spread of new virus mutations. The Czech Republic is considering a significant tightening of measures, while Bulgaria’s government – likely driven by... Read More...
Europe February 11, 2021 EUROPE: CEE PULSE Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics Andrius Tursa Belarus plans to hold a referendum on a new constitution in early 2022. In Poland, a split in the junior coalition party, Agreement, threatens a parliamentary majority of the United Right government, which is under pressure to drop the... Read More...
Europe February 5, 2021 EUROPE: CEE PULSE Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics Andrius Tursa Following a constitutional court ruling, the Czech parliament has to adopt new electoral rules ahead of the parliamentary vote scheduled for October. In Poland, the government revealed details of the proposed advertising tax, while Russia is stepping up pressure... Read More...