Author: Andrius Tursa

Teneo logo

BELARUS: Lukashenko might go, but Russia’s influence will remain

  • Targeted EU sanctions against individuals in President Alexander Lukashenko’s regime are symbolic and will, as such, not affect regime stability.
  • As Russia seems well-positioned to retain its influence in Belarus regardless of the regime’s future, this increases the chances of preventing another escalation with Moscow.
Read the rest
Teneo logo

EUROPE: CEE PULSE

The strong performance of the ruling United Russia party in the country’s regional elections suggests it is well-placed to retain its dominance of the State Duma after the 2021 parliamentary elections despite falling its approval ratings.… Read the rest

Teneo logo

EUROPE: CEE PULSE

With Russia’s support, the disputed President of Belarus Alexander Lukashenko looks likely to cling onto power for now. The stability of Bulgaria’s government will be tested by resurgent protests and parliament’s position on the constitutional changes proposed by Prime Minister Boyko Borisov.… Read the rest

Teneo logo

EUROPE: CEE PULSE

A worsening epidemiological situation across the CEE is prompting governments to tighten sanitary measures and reimpose restrictions on cross-border travels, economic and public activities. However, Romania is bucking the regional trend and reopening restaurants, theaters, and cinemas on 1 September.… Read the rest

Teneo logo

EUROPE: CEE PULSE

Intensifying crackdown on opposition politicians, journalists and anti-corruption activists suggests that Russian authorities might be seeking to suppress the remaining voices of dissent. Romania’s main opposition Social Democratic Party tabled a motion of no confidence against the Ludovic Orban’s cabinet ahead of election of new party leader on 22 August.… Read the rest

Andrius Tursa

Andrius Tursa helps Teneo’s clients navigate political risks in Central and Eastern Europe and Russia.

Andrius has been working as a political risk consultant since 2012. Some of his previous clients include Eurasia Group, IHS Markit, Fitch Solutions and the Economist Intelligence Unit.… Read the rest

Teneo logo

EUROPE: CEE PULSE

Violent clashes between protesters and government forces are set to continue in Belarus. Anti-government demonstrations in Bulgaria are declining and Prime Minister Boyko Borisov has pledged to announce “solutions” to calm down the situation in the coming days.… Read the rest

Teneo logo

EUROPE: CEE PULSE

Serbia has launched a controversial investigation into the financing of civil society organizations critical of the government. In Bulgaria, Prime Minister Boyko Borisov is seeking appease continuing public discontent by reshuffling the government and rolling out new economic support measures.… Read the rest

Teneo logo

EUROPE: CEE PULSE

Slovakia’s Prime Minister Igor Matovic is expected to survive a vote of no confidence later this week over accusations of plagiarism. The composition of Croatia’s new cabinet – which must win parliament’s approval by mid-August – suggests policy continuity.… Read the rest