report April 25, 2021 TURKEY: Armenian Genocide recognition will trigger furious (verbal) response US President Joe Biden’s recognition of the Armenian Genocide marks a new low-point in bilateral Turkey-US ties and will trigger a furious verbal response from Ankara. Retaliatory measures, if any, are likely to be short-lived and generally non-material. In the best-case scenari... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report April 22, 2021 ASIA: Weekly politics update Below is the weekly update of political developments across East Asia. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. CHINA: Xi's coal message signals willingness to make tough choices Chinese President Xi Jinping said o... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username... By Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, Tobias Harris Teneo
report April 22, 2021 BRAZIL: Bolsonaro’s weakness explains green “conversion” Speaking at the Climate Summit organized by US President Joe Biden on 22 April, President Jair Bolsonaro read the prompter and said virtually all that his new foreign ministry had put on paper for him to read. That was already a major feat. It showed that the pressure exerted by ... Become a member to read the rest... By Mario Marconini Teneo
report April 22, 2021 CHINA: Wen Jiabao’s censored essay hints at elite dissatisfaction with Xi Former premier Wen Jiabao published a personal essay in a Macao newspaper on 15 April that appeared to obliquely criticize Chinese political trends under President Xi Jinping. While the essay suggests a degree of discontent among some political elites, there is no sign that such ... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or... By Gabriel Wildau Teneo
report April 22, 2021 SOUTH AFRICA: Cabinet reshuffle likely delayed by factional politics Notwithstanding growing media speculation, President Cyril Ramaphosa may hold off on reshuffling his cabinet until next month as factional battles within the ruling ANC play out. ANC Secretary-General Ace Magashule’s exit from office seems increasingly inevitable; this should re... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me Forgot... By Anne Frühauf Teneo
report April 22, 2021 EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Graph of the week France - The seven-day r... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username... By Andrius Tursa, Antonio Barroso, Carsten Nickel, Luis Cornago Teneo
report April 21, 2021 ARGENTINA: Clash over schooling sets up protracted electoral confrontation President Alberto Fernandez’s response to the surging Covid-19 case count has aggravated tensions between his administration and the city of Buenos Aires, whose mayor, Horacio Rodriguez Larreta, is the most prominent opposition figure in public office – and the most popular polit... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me... By Nicholas Watson Teneo
report April 21, 2021 TURKEY: Genocide recognition would exacerbate discomfort in Turkey-US ties Turkey’s President Tayyip Erdogan will finally get his first chance to talk to US President Joe Biden – albeit with plenty of other world leaders – during the virtual climate summit on 22-23 April. The next day, however, could mark a new low point in Turkey-US relations as Biden ... Become a member to read the rest of... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report April 21, 2021 CHAD: President’s death raises specter of civil war On 20 April, Chadian army officials announced that President Idriss Deby had succumbed to injuries sustained while commanding his troops repelling a rebel incursion in the north of the country. The army subsequently declared a provisional military government with Deby’s son, Gene... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me... By Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report April 20, 2021 NIGERIA: More of the same from the central bank The furious official reaction to allegations of an opposition governor that ways-and-means funding of the federal budget by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) goes on unabated does little to dispel the assumption that this is still the case. The CBN would need to resume publishing... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or... By Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report April 20, 2021 GERMANY: CDU/CSU (finally) opt for Laschet – Implications The internal battle for the chancellor candidacy of the Christian alliance (CDU/CSU) has drizzled out rather than culminating in a decisive standoff. CDU leader Armin Laschet has prevailed over his CSU counterpart Markus Soeder. Laschet’s main competitors in the September electio... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me ... By Carsten Nickel Teneo
report April 20, 2021 LATAM PULSE This week, in Mexico presidential term limits and judicial independence are under debate as the lower house gears up to consider a bill to extend the Supreme Court president’s tenure. In Argentina, the government’s pandemic control plans have become caught up in a bitter politica... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail... By Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson Teneo
report April 20, 2021 JAPAN/US: Biden and Suga use first meeting to offer new vision US President Joe Biden welcomed Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga to the White House on Friday, 16 April, Biden’s first in-person summit with a foreign leader since his inauguration and Suga’s first visit to the US as prime minister. Despite Japanese concerns about Suga’s a... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail... By Tobias Harris Teneo
report April 20, 2021 MACRO: Policy responses to Covid-19 Below is our weekly summary table on the health and economic policies that selected governments around the world are implementing to counter the fallout from Covid-19. The updated table includes information about each country's vaccination strategy. Please do not hesitate to cont... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report April 19, 2021 IRAN/US: Fallout from Natanz attack is more negotiations The April 11 attack on Iran’s Natanz nuclear site was unusual in that Israel was fairly clear about its responsibility. Iran’s response to the attack, advertising its determination to create highly enriched uranium, represents a commitment to the negotiating track. While no quic... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember... By Jon B. Alterman Teneo
report April 19, 2021 US/CHINA: Climate cooperation is no gamechanger for bilateral relations A joint US-China statement on climate change projects a tone of cooperation but contains no new specific policies or emissions reductions targets by either country. Even if Beijing and Washington are willing to set aside other disputes and treat climate change as a standalone is... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail... By Gabriel Wildau Teneo
report April 19, 2021 WEEKLY POLITICAL COMPASS The US-led global climate summit will take place this week. International efforts to reduce tensions between Russia and Ukraine will continue. Germany’s ruling alliance remains undecided on who should run as its chancellor candidate. In Peru, a hard left candidate is leading the ... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report April 16, 2021 Turkey: Ankara bans payments in cryptocurrencies Turkey will bar consumers and businesses from exchanging payment for goods and services in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. In legislation (six articles) published in the Official Gazette overnight, the Central Bank of Turkey (TCMB) determined that cryptocurrencies and other s... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me ... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report April 16, 2021 RUSSIA: US sanctions could escalate tensions with Ukraine The new restrictions imposed by the US on 15 April will not significantly affect the Russian economy or its public finances but will push relations between Moscow and Washington to a new nadir. In response, Moscow could step up provocations in eastern Ukraine, which could result ... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username... By Andrius Tursa Teneo
report April 15, 2021 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: Debt implications of G20/IMF spring meetings A final extension of the Debt Service Suspension Initiative (DSSI) through 31 December 2021 provides a short-term liquidity boost for 26 African countries participating in the scheme. The International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) initiative to increase member states’ Special Drawing R... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me ... By Anne Frühauf, Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
