report March 9, 2021 GREECE: Targeting gradual opening of the economy as of late March Despite intense pressure on the public health system due to Covid-19, the government is planning for a re-opening of the local economy in the coming weeks. Athens will increase the economic relief package for 2021 to 6.5 % of... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report March 9, 2021 ITALY: New restrictions, new subsidies Italy on 8 March surpassed 100,000 coronavirus deaths, amid warnings the spread of new variants is fueling a third wave of infections. A jump in hospitalizations and a 23% rise in infections week-on-week suggest that the situation is rapidly... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report March 9, 2021 COTE D’IVOIRE: Cabinet reshuffle amid looming post-election dispute On 8 March, President Alassane Ouattara announced an cabinet reshuffle, necessitated by Prime Minister Hamed Bakayoko’s apparently rapidly deteriorating state of health. As Bakayoko’s chief internal rival, Ouattara’s chief of staff Patrick Achi, becomes prime minister ad interim,... ... By Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report March 8, 2021 SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA: First COVAX vaccines arrive, but equity debate intensifies The first COVAX vaccines have now been delivered in 17 African states, enabling a few more countries to finally kick off Covid-19 vaccination campaigns. However, such headlines should not distract from the slow vaccine rollout across the region and... By Anne Frühauf, Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report March 8, 2021 SENEGAL: Pandemic fuels anti-government protests Following last week’s large-scale protests, the situation remains tense after the conditional release of opposition leader Ousmane Sonko. The protests are a conflux of socio-economic grievances and rising criticism of President Macky Sall’s rule, which is increasingly pe... ... By Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report March 8, 2021 LATAM PULSE This week, the region’s vaccine procurement picture continues to look very uneven. Brazil should vote on the re-introduction of an emergency assistance package. In Mexico, President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) is being challenged (again) by women’s groups. In... By Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson Teneo
report March 8, 2021 WEEKLY POLITICAL COMPASS China's annual parliament session convened last week. Italy’s government is expected to extend a freeze on layoffs. In Germany, the race for the Merkel succession will be accelerated by two regional elections. Meanwhile, in Myanmar unions have called for... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report March 8, 2021 BULGARIA: April vote will bring greater political fragmentation and volatility With almost four weeks to go until the general election, the ruling GERB is a favorite to win most seats in parliament but is unlikely to succeed in forming the next government. A more fragmented parliament will open multiple... By Andrius Tursa Teneo
report March 5, 2021 ASIA: Weekly politics update Below is the weekly update of political developments across East Asia. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. CHINA: Inner Mongolia to ban bitcoin mining on... By Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, Tobias Harris Teneo
report March 5, 2021 EUROPE: CEE PULSE The Fidesz party’s departure from the European People’s Party (EPP) group in the European Parliament (EP) will weaken Hungary’s leverage in the EU and limit space for dialogue with key members of the bloc. Russia is still deliberating its... By Andrius Tursa Teneo
report March 4, 2021 UK: Sunak’s budget gives, takes away, and may give again before election Chancellor Rishi Sunak’s 3 March budget is a play in three acts, the first of which sees the continuation of economic support until the lockdown is eased. While the second part is aimed at reassuring fiscal conservatives with tax... By Carsten Nickel Teneo
report March 4, 2021 EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Graph... By Andrius Tursa, Antonio Barroso, Carsten Nickel, Luis Cornago Teneo
report March 4, 2021 INDONESIA: Widodo’s reforms in perspective President Joko Widodo over the past three months implemented some of the most significant policy reforms since the early 2000s, specifically: The passage of the Omnibus Law on Job Creation, which streamlines investment-related rules across 79 laws. A new... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report March 4, 2021 PERU: How the presidential candidates stack up The electoral field remains highly fragmented less than six weeks from the 11 April first round presidential election. Public apathy remains significant, which partly reflects the generally low caliber of candidates and debate. With up to half a dozen... By Nicholas Watson Teneo
report March 4, 2021 EMERGING MARKETS: Covid-19 Vaccination Strategies and Challenges Our Covid-19 vaccination table includes updated information on the immunization strategies selected EMs are pursuing and the challenges they face. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report March 3, 2021 ASIA: China’s new Coast Guard Law is not an escalation of maritime disputes China’s new Coast Guard Law is part of a long-term administrative and legal reform effort and does not signal near-term escalation of territorial and maritime disputes in the South and East China Seas. However, Tokyo and some Southeast Asian... By Bob Herrera-Lim, Gabriel Wildau, Tobias Harris Teneo
report March 3, 2021 ARGENTINA: Electoral considerations outranking speedy IMF resolution It looks increasingly as if the government will try to push talks with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) beyond October’s partial mid-term legislative elections. President Alberto Fernandez’s combative 1 March speech to mark the opening of the new congressional... By Nicholas Watson Teneo
report March 3, 2021 EU: Divisions over vaccination strategy continue to grow Several governments are looking beyond the EU procurement scheme amid continued discontent with the bloc's overall vaccination strategy. Countries with a high capacity for vaccine deployment and/or greater EU skepticism might be more likely to follow unilateral approache... ... By Luis Cornago Teneo
report March 3, 2021 SOUTH AFRICA: Tito’s tenure The 24 February budget has reinforced the importance of keeping Finance Minister Tito Mboweni in his post, but also speculation about his tenure. President Cyril Ramaphosa needs to reshuffle his cabinet soon owning to vacancies. However, Mboweni may remain... By Anne Frühauf Teneo
report March 3, 2021 NORTH KOREA: Pyongyang could expand cyber attacks as economic crisis continues The US Department of Justice (DOJ) announced in February that it was indicting three members of North Korea’s Reconnaissance General Bureau (RGB), a clandestine agency that manages cyber warfare activities, for attempts to steal more than USD 1.3bn in... By Tobias Harris, Victor Cha Teneo