report July 1, 2021 INDONESIA: Widodo announces wider restrictions over half the country Measures will limit most commercial and social activities on Java and Bali until 20 July, with the goal of cutting in half the current new case rate of roughly 20,000 per day. Government is targeting raising the daily vaccination... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report June 30, 2021 ECUADOR: Positive start for Lasso but challenges loom large The early part of President Guillermo Lasso's presidency was always going to revolve around his pledge to vaccinate 9mn people in his first 100 days in office - the so-called Plan 9/100. Five weeks after his inauguration, the target... By Nicholas Watson Teneo
report June 30, 2021 POLAND: Tusk’s return could spark opposition renewal A potential return of Donald Tusk to domestic politics could kickstart a renewal of Civic Platform (PO), the largest opposition party in parliament. However, Tusk would have to overcome multiple challenges facing PO and the wider opposition in order... By Andrius Tursa Teneo
report June 29, 2021 HONG KONG: What does the Apple Daily crackdown mean for business and finance? The prosecutions of pro-opposition media tycoon Jimmy Lai and his associates signal that political commentary in Hong Kong faces significant new constraints under the National Security Law. But Lai's case is unique in some respects, and other media continue... By Gabriel Wildau Teneo
report June 29, 2021 NIGERIA: More suspense regarding Buhari’s succession President Muhammadu Buhari continues to kick the question regarding his own succession down the road by extending the mandate of the All Progressives Congress (APC)'s care-taker committee by another six months. Accordingly, the date of the first national party... By Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report June 29, 2021 MACRO: Policy responses to Covid-19 Below is our weekly summary table on the health and economic policies that selected governments around the world are implementing to counter the fallout from Covid-19. The updated table includes information about each country's vaccination strategy. Please do not... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report June 28, 2021 SOUTH AFRICA: Pandemic politics On 27 June, President Cyril Ramaphosa announced a return to "Level 4" lockdown restrictions for an initial 14 days in a bid to stem a third Covid-19 wave. While less restrictive than the severest lockdowns of 2020, the pandemic... By Anne Frühauf Teneo
report June 28, 2021 TURKEY: Droughts set to drive up food prices, threaten electricity supplies The latest in a series of increasingly frequent droughts is expected to produce a poor harvest this year, fueling a further rise in food prices and frustrating the government's hopes of curbing the country's persistently high inflation. The lack... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report June 28, 2021 LATAM PULSE This week, Peru's post-election impasse drags on, though the situation could be encouraging Pedro Castillo to moderate his tone and policy agenda. In Brazil, President Jair Bolsonaro's handling of the pandemic remains under scrutiny. Chile's constituent assembly gets going,... By Teneo Teneo
report June 28, 2021 WEEKLY POLITICAL COMPASS China has dismissed US concerns on media freedom in Hong Kong. Chile's new constituent assembly will be formed. Russia's president will hold his Q&A session. Meanwhile, India's government will announce new support to private business, Romania's government is expected... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report June 25, 2021 CAMEROON: What happens if Biya dies? Talk about the succession of President Paul Biya (88), at the helm since 1982 and currently serving his seventh term until 2025, is strictly forbidden in Cameroon. While Biya has not groomed an obvious heir apparent, the path to... By Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report June 25, 2021 PHILIPPINES: With Aquino’s death, Duterte’s populism loses a target In 2009, the death of democracy icon and former president Corazon Aquino generated a surge of nostalgia that catapulted her son, Benigno Aquino III ("Noynoy"), then a largely nondescript senator with a thin legislative record, to the presidency in... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report June 24, 2021 CHINA: Data Security Law imposes new compliance requirements on companies A new Data Security Law imposes significant new compliance requirements on both Chinese and foreign companies, though follow-on regulations could take years to issue. The law calls for internet governance to balance national security and economic development objectives, includin...... By Gabriel Wildau Teneo
report June 24, 2021 PERU: Post-vote polemic takes turn for the worse Opponents of the leftist presidential candidate Pedro Castillo - seemingly the winner of the 6 June presidential run- off - are intensifying their post-election challenge. Yesterday, 23 June, one of the members of the JNE electoral board, Luis Arce... By Nicholas Watson Teneo
report June 24, 2021 RUSSIA: Government grapples with resurgent pandemic ahead of September election The resurging pandemic will lead to new restrictions and mandatory vaccinations in multiple regions. The aggressive vaccination push will boost the country's sluggish immunization campaign but could further lower support for the ruling United Russia party ahead of the... By Andrius Tursa Teneo
report June 24, 2021 MALAYSIA: Pressure is building on the PM Following the 16 June statement from the king for parliament to reconvene "as soon as possible," the pressure on Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin to recall MPs for a parliamentary sitting continues to increase. Yassin has proposed September or October... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report June 24, 2021 EMERGING MARKETS: Covid-19 Vaccination Strategies and Challenges Our Covid-19 vaccination table includes updated information on the immunization strategies selected EMs are pursuing and the challenges they face. Below are some of this week's key developments. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report June 24, 2021 EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Graph... By Andrius Tursa, Antonio Barroso, Carsten Nickel, Luis Cornago Teneo
report June 23, 2021 COTE D’IVOIRE: Gbagbo back, questions remain Following the return of former president Laurent Gbagbo (2000-2011) last week, important questions concerning his political future remain unanswered. Chief among those is what kind of arrangement Gbagbo secured from President Alassane Ouattara concerning his pending prison senten... ... By Malte Liewerscheidt Teneo
report June 23, 2021 TURKEY: Some EU money while “swap line” talk makes a comeback Despite the talk of a "positive agenda", the 24-25 June European Council (EC) summit is unlikely to be a significant moment for the future development and improvement of Turkey-EU relations. Concrete progress in relation to the upgrading of the... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
