Argentina polls | Holyrood election as an example
A bit of background on smartphone polling with Holyrood elections as a past example
SURVEY RESULTS: Bitcoin, Big Tech, and Bonds
Based on a survey with 74 respondents QUESTION 1 By the end of this quarter on 30th Sep 2021, which of these portfolio allocations do you expect to have the highest total return (in USD)? (Assume no transaction costs and fees.) QUESTION 2 By the end of this quarter on 30th Sep 2021, which of these portfolio allocations do you expect […]
Updated Polls: Holyrood Elections 2021
We consistently see the Scottish Conservatives trailing Labour in recent regional election polls across all demographic groups. There is less variance in the popularity of the SNP across different age/gender groups in our polls than in official polls, unlike other parties. This means the lower turnout rates amongst younger voters will have a greater impact on […]
Holyrood Elections 2021
Please contact us if you are interested in learning more about our private polling services and offerings. Key points: Support for the SNP is consistent across all age groups, and particularly strong amongst female voters. Alex Salmond’s new Alba Party has stalled around 4% of total support. There is a high likelihood of the […]
Scottish Elections: Salmond & Sturgeon Partnership of Convenience?
With the Holyrood Elections on 4th May 2021 less than a month away, we will be increasing our (private) smartphone polling efforts as we draw closer to the date. The recent launch of the Alba Party by the former (SNP) First Minister, Alex Salmond, so close to the election date has altered the polling arithmetics […]
EU: The external and internal politics of vaccination challenges
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US Presidential Election Series 2020
“2016 was a failure of the imagination, not a failure in data” – Matthew Shelter, Fox News Pollster Official Polls Converging with High Frequency Data As we draw closer to November 3rd, the past week has seen some top outlets (NY Times/Fox News) released a series of polls suggesting the Trump campaign has fallen further behind in the key […]
EXCLUSIVE: Scottish Independence Polls
Smartphone Private Polls We will take you through the steps to better understand the interpretations of the results and (more importantly) the associated uncertainties. Our survey panel consists of 1296 randomly selected respondents which is broadly consistent with standard sample sizes of most political polls (e.g. YouGov). Are you in favour of Scotland leaving the United Kingdom (UK) Union? We […]
Iran: The View From Tehran
On Iran… “Pride, insecurity, interest, fear, and honor” – Norman Roule, Former Head of CIA Iran desk The view from Tehran Many conflicting reports have emerged of the events leading up to the killing of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh (head of Iran’s nuclear program) over the past 24-hours. The veracity of some which are highly dubious. Sadly, we live in […]
Market Survey Results
SURVEY RESULTS: 116 anonymous respondents predominantly financial market professionals. 1) “With US S&P stock index currently at 3550, what is your best guesstimate for the level in 6 months time?” 2) “If Global GDP in 2021 is around 5-6% as most economists project, what will be the likely impact on US 10 years bond yields? (Using […]