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May 4, 2021

Scottish Independence

Updated Polls: Holyrood Elections 2021

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We consistently see the Scottish Conservatives trailing Labour in recent regional election polls across all demographic groups. There is less variance in the popularity of the SNP across different age/gender groups in our polls than in official polls, unlike other parties.

​This means the lower turnout rates amongst younger voters will have a greater impact on the final outcome for the minority parties. Notably, the Scottish Conservatives and Liberal Democrats – we expect both to do worse than official polls suggest.

Updated Polls: Holyrood Elections 2021 1