report August 17, 2021 MACRO: Policy responses to Covid-19 Below is our weekly summary table on the health and economic policies that selected governments around the world are implementing to counter the fallout from Covid-19. The updated table includes information about each country's vaccination strategy. Please do not... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report August 17, 2021 CHINA: This time is different? Signs of progress on long-awaited property tax Political obstacles have stalled progress on a property tax for over a decade, despite a broad consensus among technocrats and official promises by the Communist Party leadership. But recent policy signals, combined with a more favorable political and economic... By Gabriel Wildau Teneo
report August 17, 2021 TURKEY: Afghan crisis leaves Erdogan empty handed The Taliban's seizure of Afghanistan's capital has effectively killed Ankara's plans to use Turkish forces to operate Kabul international airport after the withdrawal of NATO allies. The "airport mission" was Erdogan's (weak) card to try to mend ties with... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report August 16, 2021 SOUTHEAST ASIA: A rush to vaccinate the main cities Vaccination rates in capitals and industrial areas are substantially outpacing the countryside in several countries. The goal is to be able to keep economic centers open as much as possible, even if subsequent outbreaks were to occur. Rural resentment... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report August 12, 2021 POLAND: PiS advances controversial Lex TVN despite potentially steep costs The government's attempt to gain greater influence over private media will further erode democratic institutions, hurt the country's business environment and relations with key international allies. The broadcasting bill will test whether the PiS-led government can muster an abs...... By Andrius Tursa Teneo
report August 12, 2021 GERMANY: Austere kingmakers? With just over six weeks to go until the 26 September Bundestag elections, opinion polls suggest that the next government might, for the first time, have to be made up of three partners. A three-way coalition was already the... By Carsten Nickel Teneo
report August 11, 2021 MALAYSIA: The walls are closing in on the prime minister King Sultan Abdullah Sultan Ahmad Shah has asked Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin to bring forward a parliamentary vote of confidence. The monarch reportedly made the request during a meeting this morning, 11 August, with Yassin, and it was discussed... By Bob Herrera-Lim Teneo
report August 11, 2021 ETHIOPIA: Towards total war? Following a brief interlude in late June, the Tigray conflict has escalated and broadened, spilling across domestic borders and sucking in combatants from other Ethiopian regions. This intensifies the risk of worst-case scenarios - a spiraling humanitarian crisis, ethnic... By Anne Frühauf Teneo
report August 10, 2021 MACRO: Policy responses to Covid-19 Below is our weekly summary table on the health and economic policies that selected governments around the world are implementing to counter the fallout from Covid-19. The updated table includes information about each country's vaccination strategy. Please do not... By Teneo Macro Teneo
report August 10, 2021 TURKEY: Erdogan’s regime descending into farce and caricature The government's mismanagement of the fires that recently swept southwest Turkey have reinforced the impression that the regime of President Tayyip Erdogan is in decay. It has also shown how dysfunctional Erdogan's much vaunted executive presidential system has become,... By Wolfango Piccoli Teneo
report August 10, 2021 ARGENTINA: Key considerations ahead of delayed mid-term primary votes Under the new voting timetable, partial legislative mid-term elections now take place on 14 November. They will be preceded by party primaries to be held on 12 September, just under five weeks from now. The mid-terms will not just... By Nicholas Watson Teneo
report August 10, 2021 LATAM PULSE This week, Peru's chaotic new government will remain under the spotlight. Brazil's voting system remains a subject of political controversy. Venezuela's opposition is set to embark on a new round of talks with representatives of President Nicolas Maduro's regime.... By Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson Teneo
report August 10, 2021 BRAZIL: Institutional reaction against Bolsonaro revives his combative style President Jair Bolsonaro continues to attack democratic institutions and the electronic voting system. Institutions react against the president but the threat to his political survival is still minimal. Congress will attempt to advance economic agenda but without expending much... By Mario Marconini Teneo
report August 9, 2021 ZAMBIA: High-stakes elections on 12 August General elections will take place on Thursday, 12 August. The recent deployment of the military highlights the risk of electoral violence around the high-stakes polls. As explained previously, the presidential election should be opposition leader Hakainde Hichilema's to lose... By Anne Frühauf Teneo
report August 6, 2021 SOUTH AFRICA: Tito’s departure a blow, replacement may prove acceptable Late on 5 August, President Cyril Ramaphosa announced his long-awaited cabinet reshuffle. The replacement of Finance Minister Tito Mboweni should not have been Ramaphosa's priority, even if his successor, Enoch Godongwana, is a well-known and pragmatic ANC policy heavyweight.... By Anne Frühauf Teneo
report August 5, 2021 GERMANY: It’s the pandemic, stupid! The Greens are trying to regain momentum for their campaign with the promise of a climate protection ministry. It would be equipped with the same cabinet veto power as the finance ministry. As discussed in the aftermath of the... By Carsten Nickel Teneo
report August 5, 2021 COLOMBIA: Petro likely faces marathon, not sprint, to 2022 The first round of the 2022 presidential elections may still be ten months away, but leftist Senator Gustavo Petro's consistent poll lead raises the question of whether a Petro victory is inevitable. Below we examine early electoral dynamics on... By Nicholas Watson Teneo
report August 5, 2021 IRAN: Raisi inaugurated amid increased concerns about Iran Ebrahim Raisi was inaugurated as Iran's president yesterday. Iran is already repositioning itself as a less pliable power in hopes of eliciting a sense of urgency to meet Iranian demands. Recent, aggressive behavior may be part of a recalibration... By Jon B. Alterman Teneo
report August 5, 2021 CHINA: New Delta outbreak shows downside of zero tolerance An outbreak of the Delta variant in China is testing Beijing's commitment to its zero-tolerance policy for new infections. Since the latest outbreak began on 20 July in Nanjing, capital of Jiangsu province, authorities have confirmed more than 414... By Gabriel Wildau Teneo
report August 5, 2021 FRANCE: What to watch after the summer With politics mostly on hiatus given the summer holidays, September is expected to trigger the unofficial start of the campaign for next year's presidential election. Below we provide an overview of the key issues to watch in the coming... By Antonio Barroso, Luis Cornago Teneo
