January 7, 2021


ECUADOR: Facing a binary choice

BY Nicholas Watson

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( 5 mins) With exactly a month to go before the first round of the presidential election, our base-case is that an April run-off will be necessary; this would pit the center-right candidate Guillermo Lasso against the leftist Andres Arauz. The uniting of the Right means that Lasso remains favorite, though a severe recession could lift Arauz, while […]

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