US/CHINA: Phase 1 trade deal faces elevated risks as US election approaches

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Some advisors to US President Donald Trump are urging him to abandon the phase 1 trade deal, while neither Democratic challenger Joe Biden nor Congress appear willing to defend it. The US trade deficit with China hit a 20-month high in July, and Chinese purchases of US exports are far behind the pace required to meet the deal's full-year targets. US and Chinese trade negotiators will hold formal talks on 15 August to discuss progress on implementing the deal, creating a potential window for Trump to announce a pullout. Despite the sharp deterioration in US-China relations, we argued
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