report October 7, 2023 Argentina | 900 Reasons for the Run on the Peso Download Editorial: 900 Reasons for the Run on the Peso The government is not generating any credibility. It insists on patches that have diminishing returns: a special exchange rate for oil exporters, small and medium businesses and now perhaps for the auto industry. Some corner... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail... By Alejandro Giacoia, Andrés Borenstein, Delfina Colacilli, Miguel A. Kiguel, Pamela Morales, Rafael Aguilar EconViews
report October 6, 2023 NFP | CIA analysts training for cognitive bias How CIA analysts reduce cognitive biases in their work... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report October 4, 2023 Stop-loss | Will the Fed slow QT to support bond yields, and when? Stop-loss triggered. Theory vs Reality. At what point can we expect the Fed to step-in to support rising bond yields?... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report October 3, 2023 US Treasuries | Now deemed return free risky assets Nothing like a good market thrashing to instill some humility... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report October 3, 2023 EconViews Base Scenario- September 2023 Dear clients and friends, We share with you our report "Base Scenario Econviews" that includes projections of the main macroeconomic variables until 2025. We hope you find it useful. For questions or comments about this report, please contact Andrés Borenstein. Best regards. Dow... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember... By Alejandro Giacoia, Andrés Borenstein, Delfina Colacilli, Miguel A. Kiguel, Pamela Morales, Rafael Aguilar EconViews
report October 3, 2023 Best Long And Short Strategies–2023Q4 London Update Here is a presentation that I gave during my recent client visits in London... By Alan Brazil Speevr Intelligence
report October 3, 2023 USD 30Y | The most difficult trade | Julia Coronado It might feel terrible, but not really... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report October 2, 2023 Argentina | Waiting for the Turbulence of December: 2015 Reloaded? Download Editorial: Waiting for the Turbulence of December: 2015 Reloaded? Everything indicates that we are going to have a turbulent December. Memories of other turbulent summers intensify, such as February 1989, which marked the beginning of hyperinflation, or December 2001, wh... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me ... By Alejandro Giacoia, Andrés Borenstein, Delfina Colacilli, Miguel A. Kiguel, Pamela Morales, Rafael Aguilar EconViews
report October 2, 2023 House Speakership | Near-term positive on risky assets New bond bears finally muster up the courage... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report October 1, 2023 Prof Sir David | How to survive a crisis Former UK top intelligence official shares key lessons on crisis survival skills... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 29, 2023 Argentina | 2024: from paradise to hell, anything is possible Download The economic situation continues to deteriorate, and it is now clear that whoever wins the general elections will have a colossal challenge in December. He or she will have to deal with an extremely fragile situation including a high and probably rising rate of inflation... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or... By Alejandro Giacoia, Andrés Borenstein, Delfina Colacilli, Miguel A. Kiguel, Pamela Morales, Rafael Aguilar EconViews
report September 28, 2023 US Equities | Technicals look favorable When you hear what you want to hear.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 27, 2023 US Mortgages | Negative convexity hedging with swaptions Relentless rates sell-off. Short gamma whipsawing ahead... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 26, 2023 US Mortgages | Negative rates convexity More neutral on USD rates and swaption hedges... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 25, 2023 US rates | When doves cry What government shutdown?... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 25, 2023 Argentina | Are We in the Eighties With Electricity and Smartphones? Download Editorial: Are We in the Eighties With Electricity and Smartphones? With each passing week the feeling that the Argentine economy is approaching the one we experienced in the eighties cannot be avoided. It does not mean that the situation will be exactly the same nor tha... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username... By Alejandro Giacoia, Andrés Borenstein, Delfina Colacilli, Miguel A. Kiguel, Pamela Morales, Rafael Aguilar EconViews
report September 23, 2023 Merton model | Debt/equity, relative value & asset volatility Credit-equity relative value trades with CDS and equity options... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 22, 2023 Review | Inflation Expectations & Asset Returns A review of the academic literature on formation of inflation expectations... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 21, 2023 US debt | Estimating net Treasury supply for the rest of the year Did we get under their skin or inside their heads?... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 21, 2023 FOMC | Keywords, phrases & narratives Prices moves shape perceptions of reality... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence