Germany – economic challenges for the new government
In a number of respects the German economy is in a good position after 16 years of Mrs MerkelBut there are problems too, including slow growth that is unduly dependent on exportsSecuring good future performance will require that policy be made holistically, not piecemealParticul… Become a member to read the rest of this article […]
EMERGING MARKETS: 2021 & 2022 Elections, Political Risk & Reform Outlook
Our Emerging Markets (EMs) outlook table summarizes the impact of elections in EMs over the next 15 months. Markets are ordered in accordance with the electoral calendar. Risk ratings are relative to each country, and not comparative across all countries listed. The table is i… Become a member to read the rest of this […]
COTE D’IVOIRE: Ouattara declared winner, opposition to form counter-government
In the early hours of 3 November, the Independent Electoral Commission (CEI) declared President Alassane Ouattara the winner of the 31 October presidential election, with 94.3% of votes cast, amid an official turnout of 53.9%. However, the proclamation of results was proceeded … Become a member to read the rest of this article
EMERGING MARKETS: 2020 & 2021 Elections, Political Risk & Reform Outlook
Our Emerging Markets (EMs) outlook table ( click below on ‘View PDF’) summarizes the impact of elections in EMs over the next 15 months. Markets are ordered in accordance with the electoral calendar. Risk ratings are relative to each country, and not comparative across all countries listed. The table is intended as a summary, not […]
CROATIA: HDZ might govern alone after convincing victory
The ruling center-right Croatian Democratic Union (HDZ) achieved a convincing victory in the 5 July general election and is expected to govern alone, relying on the support of national minority MPs and the informal backing from smaller parties. The strengthened HDZ mandate and th… Become a member to read the rest of this article
POLAND: Awaiting a presidential election that will not happen
● The 10 May presidential election has not been canceled, but no voting will take place on the scheduled date. ● This should lead to a presidential poll entirely held by postal ballot in the coming few months, although the process and timeline are unclear. ● The ruling Law … Become a member to […]
SOUTH KOREA: Democrats hope Moon’s crisis leadership yields electoral victory
● On 15 April, South Koreans will vote in quadrennial elections for the National Assembly, the unicameral legislature. ● President Moon Jae-in’s deft leadership in response to the Covid-19 outbreak has boosted his Democratic Party of Korea (DPK)’s chances of retaining its plur… Become a member to read the rest of this article
POLAND: PiS pushes ahead with the presidential poll despite Covid-19
Yesterday, 6 April, the lower house of parliament (Sejm) passed electoral code changes introducing universal postal vote in the May presidential election and allowing the speaker of the Sejm to postpone the date of the poll until 17 May. The legislation also introduces up to thre… Become a member to read the rest of […]
POLAND: Presidential elections likely to be rescheduled
The ruling Law and Justice (PiS) party will try to keep the May presidential elections on schedule, but the spreading of Covid-19 will likely force the Polish authorities to postpone the vote at least until the autumn. Rescheduling the poll might endanger the ruling party’s posit… Become a member to read the rest of […]
MALAYSIA: Scenarios for next week
● Former PM-in-waiting Anwar Ibrahim appears boxed in, even though he has the largest number of MPs on his side. ● Interim Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad appears to have miscalculated his leverage. ● Muhyiddin Yassin, president of former government coalition partner Bersat… Become a member to read the rest of this article