report April 13, 2025 From 2018: The Coming Economic War With China I published this SOM in September 2018 after the first round of Trump tariffs on China. It provides key insights into the motivation for the current round of tariffs, which the market may have forgotten.... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report January 16, 2025 US Macro | Higher For Longer Fed’s Next Move Could Be A Hike Reflecting The Tail Wind Of Immigration... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report September 27, 2024 REPOST | China Needs Stimulus Because It Is Becoming Japan Download Here is a piece I put out earlier this year. I argue that China's economy has become like Japan's. As a result, they will be forced to use stimulus as well as to return to the trade model to offset their "Japan" economy and restore growth. som chins is the new japan sep... Become a member to... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report August 28, 2024 Update On Recommended Trades I closed my long Yen call on August 6th after the Yen’s rally. The trade was up almost seven times versus the initial investment.... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report July 30, 2024 S&P 500 | Still Looks A Little Cheap If Earnings Growth Continues After the rally, S&P 500 still looks a little cheap if earnings growth continues... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report June 11, 2024 Plenty of Excess “COVID” Savings Left To Support Higher Spending Loadsamoney. Doin' up the ouse... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report May 25, 2024 Freddies New Closed-End Seconds Program Freddie Mac's Closed-End Seconds Program--Unlocking $2.5 Trillion of HE For Consumption... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report March 6, 2024 Part 4 | What Happens Next In Housing, Inflation And The Economy Inflation is likely to be episodic as shocks to markets, such as oil and housing prices, push labor to demands higher wages that starts a wage/inflationary cycle... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report February 26, 2024 The Return Of The 70s Stagflation: Low Growth, High Inflation Will current fed hikes to tame inflation mean stagflation as it did in the 70s?... By Alan Brazil Speevr Intelligence
report February 20, 2024 Part III: Positive Housing Fundamentals Like the 70s Download SOM what happens next; part 3 ... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me Forgot Password... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report February 14, 2024 Part II: No Subprime Meltdown What happens next?... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report February 13, 2024 Part 1: Reemergence of A Wage-Inflationary Cycle What happens next in housing, inflation, and the economy ... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report November 22, 2023 Market Overview And Trades Well, I am sure most of you have had time to digest the year-ahead pieces by Wall Street firms. All these pieces attempt to contextualize the recent slowdown in world economic growth and what that means for growth and asset values in 2024.... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report November 7, 2023 Higher For Longer–BOJ Hikes BOJ Has Not Hiked Rates To Fight Inflation Being At 30-yr Highs Or Yen Depreciation At 30-year Lows... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report July 27, 2023 Why I am Still Short US Equities Well, I am still short US equities, though, by the end of the week, I may be alone in this recommendation. Other analysts recommended shorting equities have been tarred, feathered, and forced to retract their advice in the face of the continued rally in equities. I've had a few of my clients questioning my sanity as well. So, why... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report June 23, 2023 Buy S&P Puts—Equity Rally Overdone My last piece on buying S&P puts... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report June 9, 2023 Update On Performance and Updated Trades Download report SOM Macro Commentary Trade Performance June 9 2023 ... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me Forgot Password... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report May 24, 2021 Biden Part 2 and New Trades SOM-Biden-Corproate-Tax...Part-2-final.p ... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me Forgot Password... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report March 10, 2021 Normalization Means A “New Normal” Of Higher Rates SOM Macro Commentary March 9th ... Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me Forgot Password... By Alan Brazil, SOM Macro Strategies SOM Macro Strategies
From 2018: The Coming Economic War With China