GERMANY: Flood catastrophe – electoral implications
After last weekend’s flood catastrophe in western parts of the country, much of the commentary has focused on comparisons with similar events in 2013 and in 2002, and their effects on the elections in these years. There is a widespread expectation that the climate change-induced … Become a member to read the rest of […]
RUSSIA: Taking first steps towards carbon accounting and regulation
While a new greenhouse gas emissions law marks a first step towards creating a national emissions accounting and regulating framework, nascent climate policies leave a lot of uncertainty for businesses. Russia’s heavy industry companies – which have most at stake under the… Become a member to read the rest of this article
GERMANY: Geopolitical prospects beyond Merkel
Chancellor Angela Merkel has arrived in Washington for her first official visit since the inauguration of US President Joe Biden. At the same time, this is likely to be Merkel’s final trip to the US before her 16 years at the chancellery come to an end after the September … Become a member to […]
EUROPE: CEE PULSE
Russia will likely continue to rely on vaccination rather than tight restrictions to cope with the still surging pandemic. The strengthening of anti-migrant and anti-LGBTQ sentiment in Lithuania could give rise to new right-wing political parties. In Poland, the government is con… Become a member to read the rest of this article
TURKEY: Erdogan looks to make provocative move in the Eastern Mediterranean
President Tayyip Erdogan is due to visit the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus (TRNC) on 20 July to mark the 47th anniversary of Turkey’s invasion of the Mediterranean island, which is celebrated as “Peace and Freedom Day” on the Turkish side of the divided island. The presiden… Become a member to read the rest […]
EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching
This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Graph of the week Spain – The average of… Become a member to read the rest […]
FRANCE: Macron lays out re-election plan – what to watch
Aside from widely reported health measures such as the compulsory vaccination of care workers, President Emmanuel Macron’s speech on 12 July included several cues about the government’s economic policies ahead of the 2022 presidential election. Below we cover the main signposts t… Become a member to read the rest of this article
BULGARIA: Election will not produce a stable government
While reform-oriented opposition lists There is Such People (ITN), Democratic Bulgaria (DB), and Stand Up! Thugs Out! (IS.BG.) will see their position in parliament strengthened following the 11 July legislative elections, they still lack enough seats to form a majority governmen… Become a member to read the rest of this article
EU: Strategy review unlikely to halt the politicization of central banking
The European Central Bank (ECB) has concluded its strategy review, but the political debate around monetary policy is likely to remain elevated, rather than settling swiftly. The updated inflation target reflects additional commitment to maintaining ultra-loose monetary policy am… Become a member to read the rest of this article
EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching
This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Graph of the week Italy – The highly c… Become a member to read the rest […]