Argentina | 2024: from paradise to hell, anything is possible
Download The economic situation continues to deteriorate, and it is now clear that whoever wins the general elections will have a colossal challenge in December. He or she will have to deal with an extremely fragile situation including a high and probably rising rate of infla… Become a member to read the rest of […]
Argentina | MONTHLY EconViews #230 – August, 2023
Download report The PASO primaries changed the electoral outlook The primary elections came with many surprises. The big winner was Javier Milei, who was in the radar and was thought to be competitive, though nobody expected that he would end in first place and obtain… Become a member to read the rest of this article
Argentina Averted the Chasm with the IMF Agreement
Argentina Averted the Chasm with the IMF Agreement, Though Fragility Is Still the Name of the Game The economic discussions have been dominated by the day-to-day developments in the negotiations between Argentina and the IMF. The other key piece of analysis is on the impact t… Become a member to read the rest of […]
Argentina: Special Analysis on Public debt. Will it be sustainable this time?
I. A poor election and a Government under pressure Inflation, the exchange rate, and economic activity are moving in election mode. The government is using all its firepower to keep the main economic variables under control. Inflation, which had reached 4.8% in March is now hove… Become a member to read the rest of […]
Argentina: Special Analysis on Construction and Real Estate
I. Is there a way to turnaround the economy? Inflation, the exchange rate, and economic activity are moving in election mode. The government is using all its firepower to keep the main economic variables under control. Inflation, which had reached 4.8% in March is now hovering a… Become a member to read the rest […]
Argentina: Special Analysis on Lithium in Argentina
I. The economy and the elections: playing poker with no aces? The electoral calendar is moving ahead, and soon we will know the candidates for the primaries that will take place on September 12th. These elections are important. They should decide whether the government can get c… Become a member to read the rest […]
Argentina: Special Analysis on the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate
A Soft Transition to the Elections: The Calm That Precedes the Storm? I. Can anything go wrong before the elections? It seems that the government has enough instruments to maintain key economic variables under control until the elections. The official exchange rate should be m… Become a member to read the rest of this article
Argentina: Special Analysis on the Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate
A Soft Transition to the Elections: The Calm That Precedes the Storm? I. Can anything go wrong before the elections? It seems that the government has enough instruments to maintain key economic variables under control until the elections. The official exchange rate should be m… Become a member to read the rest of this article
Argentina: Special Analysis on the Argentine Banking System
In Search of a Program: Hope in Paris, Not So Much in Buenos Aires I. Politics and economic decisions Who is in command? This is a critical question when it comes to economic policies. Minister Guzman is formally the Minister of Economy, but he seems to be primarily in charge … Become a member to […]
Special Analysis on Recent IMF Programs and What They Imply Argentina
I. The economic scenario before and after the elections and the role of the IMF It is increasingly clear that the government is taking every economic decision with an eye on the election and that the 4.8% March inflation rate was a disruptive figure and a potential threat. It… Become a member to read the […]
