ETHIOPIA: Endgame unclear

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Despite Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed’s repeated assurances that the military campaign in Tigray will end soon, little indicates that an end to hostilities is imminent. The two-week-old conflict between Addis Ababa and the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) is spilling across internal regional boundaries and Ethiopia’s external frontiers. A worst-case scenario of a protracted war engulfing neighboring states seems increasingly plausible, with potentially grave implications for Abiy’s own tenure and the integrity of Ethiopia’s federation. The toll to date De
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