China stimulus | Morgan Stanley | About us
We review potential options for the CCP to stabilize the economy and financial markets. Also, a bit about why we do what we do
Silicon Valley | Wall Street | Is the Goldman CEO a jerk?
The office canteen executive jerk test. How different work cultures still enjoy success in the Bay Area.
US CPI | Winning forecaster
The winner of our CPI forecasting survey. Crowded inflation narratives and bond yields. A difficult 30-year Treasury auction
US rates | Who called it right… and what next?
A roundup of where we stand, where we came from, and where we’re heading next
Financial Evolution | Natural selection in capital markets
When humans go head-to-head with King Ken’s supercomputers.
Hatzius on US economy & rates | Alan Brazil on US stocks | Feynman on Manhattan Project
The latest views from Goldman’s chief economist on the US economy and interest rates. Alan Brail on why he’s (still) short US equities. Richard Feynman lecture on his time at Los Alamos working on the Manhattan Project
BoJ | Big Tech & Capex | Bond yields & inflation
Big Tech earnings have delivered on the AI hype. ‘Pain trade’ on US Treasuries is for higher yields
BoJ | Big Tech & Capex | Bond yields & inflation
Big Tech has delivered on the AI hype. Beware the US Treasury pain trade ahead.
Quants | Hedge fund allocators | Research | Rising stocks & bond yields
An easy way to weed out stale silent shorts. Why are quant funds more successful than most discretionary managers. How to value high quality investment research.
NPCs | Wall Street non-player characters
The latest human-NPC character phenomenon has been around on Wall Street for many years