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Japan

report
  • October 30, 2026

BOJ gains room from Takaichi as it judges inflation at target

Navigating Japan's Economic Crossroads: Inflation, Rates, and Policy Mix...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • October 30, 2026

BoJs Ueda Keeps Both Doors Open

BoJ more than doubled the pace of its ETF sales, a form of tightening in financial condition...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • October 28, 2026

Electoral reform deal a broader political win for Takaichi

Fractured Foes Pave Takaichi's Path to Power...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • October 23, 2026

Defense funding debate ramps up with outcome uncertain

Beyond the Budget: Japan's Quest for Defense Funding Consensus...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • October 22, 2026

JMA Monthly #1: The Inaugural Issue

In this inaugural issue of JMA Monthly, I look at the BoJ’s progress in quantitative tightening and what it means for the JGB market...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • October 21, 2026

Government seeks smooth passage for tax cut as debate begins

Takaichi's Tax Cut: Assured Passage, Uncertain Political Cost...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • October 20, 2026

Yen Repatriation: The Tide Is Turning

From 2014 to 2025, Japan bought foreign securities worth about 2% of GDP a year. In 2026 the tide is turning. Banks are selling foreign bonds and capital flow has turned to a small net inflow...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • October 15, 2026

BoJ’s Koeda Points to a Longer Hiking Cycle

Her potential-growth example implies a neutral rate around 2.8%, above the Bank's published 2.5% ceiling and well above today's 1.25% policy rate...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • October 15, 2026

The Great Yen Rebalancing

GPIF, households and the FDI: The capital outflow that sank the yen for 15 years are now rebalancing back to yen...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • October 14, 2026

Takaichi abandons Yana as political costs mount

A Strategic Resignation, But Scrutiny Lingers...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • October 14, 2026

The BoJ Has Reasons Not to Hike Too Soon

Bank loan growth is showing an early sign of moderation. Higher debt service costs affect SMEs disproportionally. The BoJ has good reason to be patient before the next hike...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • October 10, 2026

Japan Inc. Now Sells No Yen to Invest Abroad

Earnings on Japan’s foreign direct investment (FDI) reached 103% of new FDI in 2022–25. With dividends and retained earnings counted together, Japan Inc. now need to sell little yen to invest abroad...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • October 5, 2026

Policy speech shows Takaichi’s unwavering vision

Japan's Economic Transformation: A Resolute Path Forward...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • October 4, 2026

Tokyo CPI Jump Wont Bring Forward a BoJ Hike

Tokyo inflation rose, but the BoJ remains focused on underlying trends, delaying rate hikes until 2027...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • October 2, 2026

Takaichi on the spot as Beijing charms moderates

Beijing's Diplomatic Gambit: Undermining Takaichi While Courting Japanese Moderates...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • October 1, 2026

The BoJ Is in No Hurry for the Next Hike

Market misprices BoJ's December hike; September remarks reveal growing caution among members...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • September 25, 2026

Trump’s interest in yen increases Takaichi’s troubles

US-Japan currency friction puts Takaichi's fiscal expansion plans in the spotlight...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • September 24, 2026

The Market Misprices a BoJ December Hike

BoJ signals patience, citing weak domestic demand and financial considerations, challenging aggressive market hike expectations...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • September 23, 2026

Cursory summit highlights US-Japan asymmetries

The Alliance Asymmetry: Why Tokyo Can’t Afford to Cross Washington...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • September 21, 2026

Mrs Watanabe No More

Speculative FX trading was the key feature of Japanese retail investors. No more. Buy-and-hold strategy has become is mainstay. I explain the arc of Japanese retail investors over the last 5 decades...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • September 18, 2026

Ueda remains true to himself

Ueda's unwavering caution guides Japan's monetary policy...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • September 18, 2026

BoJ Ueda: Virtually no chance of an October hike

Governor Ueda forcefully guides down market expectations for immediate rate increases...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • September 17, 2026

Reshuffle signals policy continuity and subtle political shifts

Cabinet Stability Meets Leadership Ambitions...
  • By Tobias Harris
  • Japan Foresight
report
  • September 13, 2026

BoJ Preview: September Hike, Then Patience

BoJ's September hike is imminent, but expect a prolonged pause, with Masu Kazuyuki emerging as a surprising moderate...
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors
report
  • September 10, 2026

Yen Repatriation Starts with the Whale

GPIF, one of the largest national pension funds in the world, is likely to rebalance its assets from non-yen bonds to yen bonds, signaling a big turn in Japan's cross-border capital flows....
  • By Takuji Okubo
  • Japan Macro Advisors

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