January 7, 2021 BioNTech Founders Türeci and Şahin on the Battle against COVID-19 Others DER SPIEGEL, mRNA, vaccine, covid-19 Press play to listen <audio class="amazon-ai-player" id="amazon-ai-player" preload="none" controls ... Read More...
November 20, 2020 Market Survey Results Polls, Economics, Others, US SURVEY RESULTS: 116 anonymous respondents predominantly financial market professionals. 1) “With US S&P stock index currently at 3550, what is your best guesstimate for the level in 6 months time?” <img class="aligncenter wp-image-53718" src="http://speevr.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/ULTIMA-300x185.png" alt="Market Survey Results 1"... Read More...
October 12, 2020 Christine Lagarde, ECB Head Economics, Europe, Others Her speech centred on the structural changes ahead for Europe which she divides into 2 categories: ‘Good ones’ and ‘bad ones’. As an optimist she likes to focus on the positives: Only 10% of those surveyed have an urge to go back... Read More...
September 4, 2020 Trump And Fox New Polls Polls, Others, Politics, US Behind the Fox News Polls Yesterday, President Trump tweeted out against a recent poll released by Fox News which shows him trailing in battleground states against his 2020 presidential contender Joe Biden. Fortunately, on 4th August 2020... Read More...
November 17, 2020 A Quick Overview of UK-EU Negotiations Others, Politics “To convince people don’t try to reach their head try to reach their heart.” ― Amit Kalantri, Wealth of Words The options from over 1 year ago… <img class="aligncenter wp-image-53654" src="http://speevr.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/UK-UE-NEGOCIATIONS-1-300x209.jpg" alt="A Quick Overview of UK-EU Negotiations 13"... Read More...
October 18, 2020 Comment on Mobility Data Economics, Others, Politics Weekly Political Compass In recent weeks some market economists have drawn attention to the recent down ticks in mobility data as an early indicator of a slow down in economic activity within Europe. Whilst this may be valid, we believe the mobility evidenced... Read More...
December 14, 2020 US Presidential Election Series 2020 Polls, Others, Politics, US “2016 was a failure of the imagination, not a failure in data” – Matthew Shelter, Fox News Pollster Official Polls Converging with High Frequency Data As we draw closer to November 3rd, the past week... Read More...
October 24, 2020 US Election Polls: Data Blind Spots Others As requested by several members, we have updated our previous stats report of US Election polls. We highlight some potential statistical pitfalls of the (aggregate) polls with states such as Texas, Louisiana, Missouri, and Indiana at most risk of surprise outcome. … <a... Read More...
November 2, 2020 US Election Forecast Polls, Others, Politics, US We project Biden to win by 340-355 Electoral College Votes (see below) Why are the implied odds for a Trump victory much lower in the betting markets than those of Nate Silver’s (FiveThirtyEight) model? This may be... Read More...
November 18, 2020 Our Debut Survey Results Polls, Others, US Thank you to all those who participated. We received 116 anonymous responses in total – predominantly from financial market professionals. Going forward, we will try harder to get higher participation rates amongst corporate treasuries and our tech industry followers. The results presented below are raw data... Read More...
