This week will see intensified negotiations as Argentina tries to avoid a ninth sovereign default. Beyond Argentina, the spread of Covid-19 in the region will dominate the week ahead even as some countries tentatively loosen restrictions; yesterday, 17 May, the number of confirmed cases in Latin America and the Caribbean reached 500,000. … Read the rest
- Guillermo Lasso of the center-right Creating Opportunities (CREO) party has the early advantage ahead of the 2021 presidential elections.
- Former president Rafael Correa’s legal problems could well thwart his aspirations for a comeback as vice-president.
- Putative candidates are stepping up their preparations for the 2021 presidential elections, but the outlook remains clouded by uncertainty.
- The campaign will take place against a backdrop of a deep recession, persistent fiscal imbalances, and debt stress.
The government is struggling to contain the Covid-19 outbreak in the local epicenter of Guayas province, whose capital – Guayaquil – is the country’s economic hub. As of this morning (local time) on 1 April, there were 2,748 confirmed Covid-19 cases across the country, and 93 deaths.… Read the rest
The government has fended off pressure to declare a debt moratorium and is instead set to secure additional external funding that will help in the struggle to contain the COVID-19 outbreak and keep the acutely fragile economy afloat.… Read the rest
President Lenin Moreno last night, 10 March, announced an emergency package of measures designed to boost government revenues by USD 2.25bn. Moreno cited the impact of the global COVID-19 outbreak together with the oil price drop as reasons for the package.… Read the rest