Latam April 12, 2021 ECUADOR: Lasso thwarts revival of left-leaning populism but going will be tough Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson ( 3 mins) Former president Rafael Correa (2007-2017) suffered a resounding defeat yesterday, 11 April, as his proxy presidential candidate Andres Arauz lost... Read More...
Latam April 8, 2021 ECUADOR: A complex horizon for whoever wins presidential run-off Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson ( 3 mins) Campaigning officially ends tonight, 8 April, ahead of the 11 April presidential run-off vote. The vote comes down to a... Read More...
Latam March 2, 2021 ECUADOR: Electoral tussle drags on as IMF deal frays Ecuador, Politics IMF Nicholas Watson ( 3 mins) Officially, Andres Arauz of the leftist Union for Hope (UNES) coalition – whose leader in the shadows is former president... Read More...
Latam March 31, 2021 ECUADOR: Signs of late Lasso rally may not be enough against Arauz Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson ( 5 mins) Andres Arauz remains the marginal favorite ahead of the 11 April presidential run-off vote though the conservative Guillermo Lasso... Read More...
Latam February 8, 2021 ECUADOR: Perez or Lasso – that is the question Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson ( 3 mins) With 97.85% of votes cast in the 7 February presidential election now counted, Andres Arauz of the leftist Union for... Read More...
Latam January 7, 2021 ECUADOR: Facing a binary choice Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson ( 5 mins) With exactly a month to go before the first round of the presidential election, our base-case... Read More...
May 18, 2020 LATAM PULSE Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, Latam, Mexico, Peru latin america, politics Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson ( 5 mins) This week will see intensified negotiations as Argentina tries to avoid a ninth sovereign default. Beyond Argentina, the spread of Covid-19 in... Read More...
Latam August 25, 2020 ECUADOR: Withdrawals favor Lasso but 2021 presidential field is crowded Ecuador, Emerging Markets, Politics Nicholas Watson ( 5 mins) Guillermo Lasso of the center-right Creating Opportunities (CREO) party has the early advantage ahead of the 2021 presidential elections. ... Read More...
July 8, 2020 ECUADOR: 2021 election maneuvering moves up a gear Credit, Ecuador, Emerging Markets, Latam, Politics Nicholas Watson ( 5 mins) Putative candidates are stepping up their preparations for the 2021 presidential elections, but the outlook remains clouded by uncertainty. ... Read More...
April 1, 2020 ECUADOR: Guayaquil outbreak to create new debt pressures and political risks Credit, Ecuador, Emerging Markets, Latam, Politics covid-19, ecuador, IMF, Moreno, sovereign debt Nicholas Watson ( 3 mins) The government is struggling to contain the Covid-19 outbreak in the local epicenter of Guayas province, whose capital – Guayaquil... Read More...
