Latam June 30, 2021 ECUADOR: Positive start for Lasso but challenges loom large Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson The early part of President Guillermo Lasso’s presidency was always going to revolve around his pledge to vaccinate 9mn people in his first 100 days in office – the so-called Plan 9/100. Five weeks after his inauguration, the target... Read More...
Latam April 12, 2021 ECUADOR: Lasso thwarts revival of left-leaning populism but going will be tough Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson Former president Rafael Correa (2007-2017) suffered a resounding defeat yesterday, 11 April, as his proxy presidential candidate Andres Arauz lost to the conservative former banker Guillermo Lasso in a run-off vote. With 98% of votes counted, Lasso of the... Read More...
Latam April 8, 2021 ECUADOR: A complex horizon for whoever wins presidential run-off Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson Campaigning officially ends tonight, 8 April, ahead of the 11 April presidential run-off vote. The vote comes down to a binary choice between populist leftism in the shape of Andres Arauz, and anti-Correismo, as represented by the conservative Guillermo... Read More...
Latam March 2, 2021 ECUADOR: Electoral tussle drags on as IMF deal frays Ecuador, Politics IMF Nicholas Watson Officially, Andres Arauz of the leftist Union for Hope (UNES) coalition – whose leader in the shadows is former president Rafael Correa (2007-2017) – and Guillermo Lasso of the center-right Creating Opportunities (CREO) party will contest a run-off presidential... Read More...
Latam March 31, 2021 ECUADOR: Signs of late Lasso rally may not be enough against Arauz Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson Andres Arauz remains the marginal favorite ahead of the 11 April presidential run-off vote though the conservative Guillermo Lasso appears to have gained ground. Voter fragmentation and indecision complicate the outlook, as do calls to spoil ballots. The vote pits Lasso’s... Read More...
Latam February 8, 2021 ECUADOR: Perez or Lasso – that is the question Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson With 97.85% of votes cast in the 7 February presidential election now counted, Andres Arauz of the leftist Union for Hope (UNES) coalition has won 32.16% of the vote. Yaku Perez of Pachakutik, the political arm of the Confederation... Read More...
Latam January 7, 2021 ECUADOR: Facing a binary choice Ecuador, Politics Nicholas Watson With exactly a month to go before the first round of the presidential election, our base-case is that an April run-off will be necessary; this would pit the center-right candidate Guillermo Lasso against the leftist Andres Arauz. The uniting of... Read More...
May 18, 2020 LATAM PULSE Argentina, Brazil, Ecuador, Latam, Mexico, Peru latin america, politics Mario Marconini, Nicholas Watson Press play to listen <audio class="amazon-ai-player" id="amazon-ai-player" preload="none" controls ... Read More...
Latam August 25, 2020 ECUADOR: Withdrawals favor Lasso but 2021 presidential field is crowded Ecuador, Emerging Markets, Politics Nicholas Watson Arabic <img src="https://d12ee1u74lotna.cloudfront.net/images/flags/ja.png" class="amazon-ai-flag-image" alt="ja... Read More...
July 8, 2020 ECUADOR: 2021 election maneuvering moves up a gear Credit, Ecuador, Emerging Markets, Latam, Politics Nicholas Watson Arabic <img src="https://d12ee1u74lotna.cloudfront.net/images/flags/ja.png" class="amazon-ai-flag-image" alt="ja... Read More...
