French Election | Polling Errors | Euro 2024

Why the miss in polls? Finance guy’s date with a tree
Paul Tucker | Credit Suisse Failure & LOLR
Credit Suisse failure exposes key weakness in Swiss banking regulation
France Election | Potential Poll Surprises

Quick take on France legislative election polls and potential surprises
US Election | Polling Errors, Bias & Forecasting

Are polls biased against Trump? Dusting off our 2020 ‘model’ to forecast 2024 results. Germany go through
Ozempic Pregnancies | US Election Polls | Iran

Nate Silver US election model review. Women on Ozempic and contraceptives becoming pregnant. Hats & turbans in the ring for Iran election
Euro 2024 | Part 3: AGI, Superhuman Intelligence & Natural Stupidity

AI cloning Tennis GOAT. Who is GOAT? AI bond pricing model and Tory punters
Euro 2024 | Time To Back The Germans

Germans most impressive so far. England overrated as usual. Scotland the most fun
Eurozone | Part 2: AGI, Superhuman Intelligence & Natural Stupidity

What are AGI and Superhuman Intelligence? Eurozone comment
Eurozone | BTP/OAT | Not Enough Bank Equity

BTP/OAT is not a smart trade. Too much public debt, not enough bank equity in Europe
Part 1: AGI, Superhuman Intelligence & Natural Stupidity
Higher concentration is not the problem. It’s much deeper and closer to home