Speevr logo

US Election | Polling Errors, Bias & Forecasting

Table of Contents

“All models are wrong, but some are useful”

FiveThirtyEight Model

The latest FiveThirtyEight election forecasting model results are the only indicator post-Biden-Trump debate suggesting the former's chance of winning has marginally increased to 51%.

Source: FiveThirtyEight

The shape of the distribution keeps chang...


Become a member to read the rest of this article

Subscribe to receive updates from Speevr Intelligence

Most recent by Speevr Intelligence


Share this page

US Election | Polling Errors, Bias & Forecasting

Are polls biased against Trump? Dusting off our 2020 ‘model’ to forecast 2024 results. Germany go through