Russia-Ukraine | Taylor Rule | Blanchard Beveridge Curve | Treasuries | Risk Premia (Eurostoxx)
A confluence of positive market catalysts with increasing probability coming together.
BoE | GS Econ | Rosenberg | Relentless bears
Now that everyone is back from “Raining Man” with minds intact from the psychedelic trips, let’s get to it… Bailey banking BoE independence on inflation Bank of England (BoE) Governor, Andrew Bailey, has made assertive statements about the future trajectory of … Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password […]
US bond yields | Slow unraveling of a shaky investment thesis
That sinking feeling when the data was on your side but the market is not
US payrolls | What to focus on. Who to anchor on.
A brief comment ahead of the US jobs numbers
LK-99 | US stocks, rates & inflation
Why US bond yields keep rising. LK-99 is not a superconductor, but an insulator
Hatzius on US economy & rates | Alan Brazil on US stocks | Feynman on Manhattan Project
The latest views from Goldman’s chief economist on the US economy and interest rates. Alan Brail on why he’s (still) short US equities. Richard Feynman lecture on his time at Los Alamos working on the Manhattan Project
US CPI | Team Harvard & Goldman win again
Jason Furman of Harvard notes erroneous Cleveland Fed nowcasting we previously mentioned.
US CPI | 4 scenarios & probability estimates
We consider 4 possible outcomes for the June (2023) CPI number, together with our estimated probabilities and expected market impact. Downside inflation surprised more likely.
US recession | Inflation | Krugman does it again
Once again Paul Krugman uses alternative semi-annual inflation measures to argue his case.
De-dollarization | Threads vs Twitter | Inflation-yields
Our quick examination of Meta’s new Threads social platform against Twitter. Paul Krugman on de-dollarization.