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“Academic politics are so vicious precisely because the stakes are so small.”

To add to our previous update, every problem with even a slight resemblance to Game Theory is often labeled a "Prisoner's Dilemma." 

It seems that most banks expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points (bp) today, while markets are leaning toward a 50 bp cut. The fron...

 

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FOMC -37.5bp | PIMCO CIO | Sahm Rule, New Taylor Rule

Switching to 37.5bp cut just because…