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Recession probabilities | MM flows | Regional banks

Table of Contents

Let's start with the data...

Money market outflows

Money market funds saw net weekly outflows of ~$60bn - most withdrawals were by institutional clients. As best as we can tell, the money did not go into bond/equity mutual funds. So what happened?

Explanation 1

It's ...

 

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Recession probabilities | MM flows | Regional banks

Are US stocks overvalued? We revise our 2023 recession probability estimates.