CUBA/VENEZUELA: What lies ahead under a Biden presidency
Cuba and Venezuela rank among the more difficult challenges facing incoming US President Joe Biden in Latin America. US domestic political factors go some way to explaining why policy shifts are most likely to be incremental. There is greater scope for some form of re-engag… Become a member to read the rest of this […]
CHINA: New virus outbreak threatens economic recovery and vaccine diplomacy
China is suffering its worst Covid-19 outbreak since July, prompting authorities to re-impose lockdowns in several regions and threatening to derail the recovery of consumer spending. Though authorities are likely to succeed in containing the latest outbreak, in a worst-case scen… Become a member to read the rest of this article
ITALY: Confusion and posturing dominate while PM plays for time
As expected, Matteo Renzi has withdrawn Italia Viva (IV)’s cabinet members from Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte’s government, bringing it toward the verge of collapse. Renzi’s long telegraphed move triggered a political crisis, which could last days or even a few weeks, has no clea… Become a member to read the rest of this article
EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching
This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. France – Daily cases have jumped to above… Become a member to read the rest of […]
EUROPE/MACRO: Balancing the vaccines-lockdown-economics triangle
While planning and logistical challenges might explain the variation in vaccination rates across Europe, it is too early to draw conclusions about these differences. A majority of the population still supports lockdowns, but compliance with restrictions and certain group… Become a member to read the rest of this article
NIGERIA: Covid-19 challenges abound
Nigeria faces a second wave of Covid-19 infections, with a steady surge since December 2020. The government is hesitant to reintroduce restrictions on movement that proved hugely unpopular and were in fact widely ignored in spring last year. Meanwhile, hugely ambitio… Become a member to read the rest of this article