Sunday bloody Sunday

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Sterling underperformed in September, in line with our bearish forecast (UK & Sterling facing potential quadruple whammy, 4th September 2020). It gradually recovered from 22nd September, appreciated throughout October and peaked on 27th November. Sterling NEER has since weakened about 2.4% to an 11-week low. The sell-off at the turn of December was exacerbated by all four of the United Kingdom’s devolved nations still being subject to tight social distancing restrictions and their negative impact on the UK economy.  In the past ten days the dwindling odds of the United K
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