November 2, 2020

US Election Forecast

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( 6 mins) We project Biden to win by 340-355 Electoral College Votes (see below) Why are the implied odds for a Trump victory much lower in the betting markets than those of Nate Silver's (FiveThirtyEight) model? This may be a bit like asking why England trade at high betting odds to win the (soccer) World Cup, or the Yankees in the World […]

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