Major economies & currencies – What to look out for and why it matters

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Price action in major currencies was again subdued last week. With few tier-one macro data releases for markets to trade off the focus was on the reaction function of governments and central banks to covid-19 related developments. Only a handful of currencies appreciated by more than 1% vs the Dollar last week and no major currency depreciated by more than 0.7%. The net result was that the Dollar Nominal Effective Exchange Rate was down only 0.2% and it is broadly unchanged since Friday. The calendar for tier-one macro data releases and policy events is far heavier this week, particularly in
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Warnings about US economy and USD overblown

( 12 mins read ) Press play to listen The United States’ post-war record GDP contraction in Q2 of 9.5% qoq and the Dollar’s recent depreciation have been making headline news but some perspective is required. The US GDP contracted

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China’s V-shaped recovery under the microscope

( 10 mins read ) Press play to listen Chinese GDP growth (seasonally-adjusted) was 11.5% qoq in Q2. This was stronger than consensus forecast (+9.6% qoq) and more than reversed Q1 contraction of 9.8% qoq. This record-high growth reflects both

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United Kingdom: Back to 1999… and to the future

( 14 mins read ) Press play to listen Part Two of this Five-part series of Insights into the UK economy and financial markets examines the critical role played by the British government, which continues to pump tens of billions

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Lessons learnt from Q1 collapse in global GDP

( 8 mins read ) Press play to listen Global GDP growth, in year-on-year terms, slowed to -2.7% in Q12020  from +3.1% in Q4 2019 and in quarter-on-quarter terms to -4.5% from +0.6% in Q4, based on growth rates in

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Conservative FX markets testing (some) extremes

( 9 mins read ) Press play to listen FX markets’ conservative approach in face of acute coronavirus and macro uncertainty We argued in the 20th April edition of Armchair Trader’s Daily Newsletter that the currency range-trade was making a

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US GDP growth – One extreme to another

( 9 mins read ) Press play to listen The BEA will release tomorrow its first estimate of US GDP growth in Q1. Consensus estimate for the quarter-on-quarter seasonally-adjusted annualised rate of growth is -4.0%. If correct this would imply

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新駐日大使ワインスタイン氏 米上院委員会で承認 | トランプ大統領 | NHKニュース https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20200923/k10012630391000.html

I want to thank everybody who has tweeted photos after receiving their books. Of course, I haven't been able to do in-person events, but, if there's interest, I've been looking into book plates that I could sign and mail.

veronicabarfucci@veronicabarfuc1

@HurstPublishers made my day.
Can't wait to read both @observingjapan & @nktpnd

Shinzo Abe’s political comeback in 2012 ushered in an astonishing period of stability and prosperity. Abe’s successor inherits a country whose economic and geopolitical future is far less secure, @observingjapan argues.
https://trib.al/JablA9y

Imperdible discurso de Luciano Laspina

No he visto en los medios este discurso, a pesar de que es lo más inteligente y honesto que se ha dicho sobre el “impuesto a los ricos” propuesto por el Diputado Heller.

http://www.cavallo.com.ar/imperdible-discurso-de-luciano-laspina/

Escucharon hablar de "The Great Green Wall". Aca Emi Boren te lo cuenta. Y no es sarasa.

https://mariposamagazinexo.com/blog/great-green-wall

As CCS, Suga was not deeply involved in Abe decision to focus on return of just 2 islands from Russia. Instead, Imai & other METIs took lead. With Imai & Hasegawa leaving former roles, MOFA expected to regain prominence. MOFA never keen on Abe's RU policy. https://www.hokkaido-np.co.jp/article/462844

Shinzo Abe deserves credit for his accomplishments, but the stability of his nearly eight-year term also comes down to luck, @observingjapan argues. His successor faces a more daunting agenda, from the economy to China to negotiating with Trump.
https://trib.al/fBD8aif

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