BRAZIL: Political new normal favors president, pandemic at alarming rate

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Covid-19 has reached alarming levels but the president remains focused on averting impeachment. Polls indicate that presidential disapproval is on the rise but they also show a resilient core, now possibly including some of the most vulnerable share of the population. The absence of both mega-protests and declining approval rates, particularly as the president has traded pork and patronage with Centrao parties, make for dim prospects for an impeachment. Brazil has now reached more than one thousand deaths per day and the risk of a health system collapse in Sao Paulo, the ori
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Latam Pulse

( 4 mins read ) This week should see moves in Brazil’s Congress on a new federative pact and tax reforms. In Peru, executive-congressional relations will remain tense following last week’s failed impeachment vote. Argentina will also see tensions over

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Latam Pulse

( 5 mins read ) This week, social tensions in Colombia are back at front and center of the domestic political agenda. In Peru, President Martin Vizcarra faces the threat of impeachment amid yet another confrontation with Congress. Brazilwill see

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Latam Pulse

( 4 mins read ) This week, Mexico’s 2021 budget will be unveiled. Brazil could see moves to get Congress working more normally, though preparations for November’s municipal elections will occupy most attention. Peru’s well-regarded finance minister is in Congress’s

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Latam Pulse

( 5 mins read ) This week, new Covid-19 cases remain stubbornly high across much of the region. Meanwhile, Mexico’s Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) is likely to offer a rose-tinted view of the economy in an annual set-piece speech.

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Latam Pulse

( 4 mins read ) Press play to listen This week, the region’s sustained “first wave” of Covid-19 will continue to weigh across most countries. Meanwhile, in Argentina, a controversial judicial reform may pass a Senate vote but still faces

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LATAM PULSE

( 5 mins read ) Press play to listen This week, in Mexico, the Covid-19 situation will remain critical, while separately, investor anxiety is likely to remain high after a major investment project looks set to be subject to another

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LATAM PULSE

( 4 mins read ) Press play to listen This week, Latin America will continue to bear the brunt of the global Covid-19 pandemic, while local infection dynamics continue to evolve. Meanwhile, in Chile, President Sebastian Pinera is aiming to

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LATAM PULSE

( 5 mins read ) Press play to listen In Chile this week, a defeat for the government on a key vote seems all but inevitable, while Covid-19 indicators show signs of improvement. Mexico’s Covid-19 traffic light system is mired

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I have a new post in the Prime Minister's Time section of my website, analyzing Suga's schedule for the week of 9/20. http://observingjapan.com/2020/09/26/the-week-of-20-september-2020/

Shinzo Abe presided over an era of stability in Japan, but his successor does not share Abe’s luck, @observingjapan writes. Japan’s economy has sunk into a recession and Beijing’s recent actions have entirely undone Abe’s pursuit of a rapprochement.
https://trib.al/GW4kv2W

En 4 de los últimos 5 meses las importaciones pagadas fueron superiores a las computadas en aduana. En exportaciones la tendencia es la opuesta: llevamos 7 meses seguidos con menos ingreso de dólares que exportaciones. Así es la brecha XL. Imposible que no falten dólares. #MULC

"Risks and Opportunities for the Euro" https://www.europarl.europa.eu/thinktank/en/document.html?reference=IPOL_STU(2020)652751 . A study Daniel Gros and I did for the European Parliament on the prospects for enhancing the currency's international role.

Shinzo Abe presided over an astonishing period of stability in Japan. His successor promises continuity, but a recession, an aggressive China, and a possible second Trump term will make it difficult to deliver on that promise, @observingjapan argues.
https://trib.al/Bcbe1U8

I don't think I've read anything that lays bare America's "cold civil war" as well as @jbouie does here. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/25/opinion/trump-supreme-court-missouri-compromise.html

Pucha, qué DURA qué esta la economía argentina...
La economía argentina:
https://r24n.com/contenido/198177/primicia-exclusiva-alvarez-agis-remplazaria-a-martin-guzman-como-ministro-de-eco

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