ITALY: Con-Te (With You) or Without?
The relationship between Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte and the coalition parties is set to become increasingly fractious. The main risks for Conte are infighting with the Five Star Movement and his own ego. Regardless of Conte’s political fate, the likelihood of snap elect… Become a member to read the rest of this article Username […]
ITALY: A “relaunch” to nowhere
The government approved yesterday a new economic aid package – worth EUR 55bn – aimed at helping families and businesses damaged by the Covid-19 outbreak. Originally optimistically entitled “The April Decree” and now rebaptized “The Relaunch Decree”, the document contains 256 art… Become a member to read the rest of this article
EUROPE: The politics of exit strategies
Following this week’s macro piece on the politics of lockdown exit, this note provides an updated overview of the strategies currently being planned by selected European governments. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned i… Become a member to read the rest of this article
ITALY: No real “phase 2” and no strategy
Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte has given a televised address outlining how Italy will begin easing its Covid-19 lockdown. The main takeaway is that the government has no strategy on how to handle the critical easing phase nor on how to reboot the economy. The speech was more notab… Become a member to read the […]
ITALY: A perfect storm on the horizon
● The political backdrop is set to worsen in the weeks ahead with a likely adverse impact on the exit strategy. ● As for the 23 April European Council, Prime Minister Giuseppe Conte will accept the likely deal that will kick down the road the question on how to pay for the tempo… Become […]
EUROPE: The politics of exit strategies
In this piece, we provide an overview of the exit strategies currently being planned by selected European governments and the surrounding politics. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Italy Lockdown time… Become a member to read the rest of this […]
Macro Series – Postcard – Italy: a harbinger for Europe and perhaps beyond
In the eye of the Covid-19 storm, early-stage signs are that the lockdown may be working. Italy being at the forefront of the epidemic in Europe, it may prove instructive to follow developments there more closely than usual. Italy’s March 10 lockdown was early – two weeks … Become a member to read the […]
ITALY: Crisis mismanagement and toxic politics prevail
As Italy enters a crucial week to confirm if a trend reversal has been achieved in terms of new daily infections, the political atmosphere is becoming increasingly toxic. This is mainly due to the government’s inept crisis-management and the opposition’s propensity to exploit the… Become a member to read the rest of this article
Macro Series – Postcard – Italy: more complicated than a tale of two regions
In statistical terms Italy is country of variances, rather than of averages. Italy’s economy has scarcely grown since the beginning of the new century, and is yet to re-attain its pre-2008 level. But Italy’s economic problems extend beyond its aggregate performance: it also ha… Become a member to read the rest of this article
WEEKLY POLITICAL COMPASS
Russia’s new cabinet will be unveiled. Two regions in Italy will hold crucial regional polls. Argentina’s finance minister has ruled out a bailout for Buenos Aires province. The annual gathering of South Africa’s ruling party has come to an end. Poland is moving ahead with its co… Become a member to read the rest […]