report May 26, 2023 Debt ceiling | Evaluating probabilities & risk We perform a very simple probabilistic scenario analysis to estimate ex-post S&P 500 trade ranges.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 26, 2023 Debt ceiling | The difficult part is done According to Politico an agreement was reached on the most challenging bits of a debt dea.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 11, 2023 Debt ceiling | To Bill Gross or de-gross portfolios? We run though some scenarios to identify the most optimal course of action. Relative value and macro hedges are best avoided.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 10, 2023 US CPI | Debt ceiling | Bill Gross trades Economists' inflation forecasts have been accurate for several months as data uncertainties have declined. What does former PIMCO CIO Bill Gross think?... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 9, 2023 Debt ceiling poll | Who loses most with voters? A recent Washington Post-ABC News poll shows the majority of US voters think debt ceiling should be dealt separately from the budget. The polls are similar to the 2011 debt ceiling standoff.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 5, 2023 USA CDS | US banks | Armageddon bets Positions that benefit from a rapid appreciation in German Bunds may be better than purchasing USA CDS.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
