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report May 11, 2023 Debt ceiling | To Bill Gross or de-gross portfolios? We run though some scenarios to identify the most optimal course of action. Relative value and macro hedges are best avoided.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 10, 2023 US CPI | Debt ceiling | Bill Gross trades Economists' inflation forecasts have been accurate for several months as data uncertainties have declined. What does former PIMCO CIO Bill Gross think?... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 9, 2023 Debt ceiling poll | Who loses most with voters? A recent Washington Post-ABC News poll shows the majority of US voters think debt ceiling should be dealt separately from the budget. The polls are similar to the 2011 debt ceiling standoff.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 9, 2023 MS | Wilson | A Harry Maguire like season Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me Forgot Password... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 5, 2023 NFP | Where’s the US economic data pointing to? Recent US economic data is undeniably strong. Investment outlooks are probably yet to reflect these developments.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 5, 2023 USA CDS | US banks | Armageddon bets Positions that benefit from a rapid appreciation in German Bunds may be better than purchasing USA CDS.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 4, 2023 Russia-Ukraine | Who’s behind the Kremlin done attacks? ISW assesses Kremlin drone attack as a false flag operation to stoke public sentiment ahead of Victory Day celebrations.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 3, 2023 Bloomberg | FOMC | Debt ceiling Two Democrat senators to side with Republicans on debt ceiling talks.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report May 1, 2023 Phillips curve | FRC | FDIC | JP Morgan A quick look at the JPM/FDIC/FRC deal. John Hussman on Phillips curves and false investment narratives.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 27, 2023 FRC | Game theory, bank runs & plea deals We try to identify the Nash equilibrium bailout for First Republic Bank.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 26, 2023 FRC bailout #2 | Suing the auditors (KPMG) Limited scope for regulatory forbearance as auditors come under pressure on fair value disclosures. ... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 25, 2023 Recession probabilities | MM flows | Regional banks Are US stocks overvalued? We revise our 2023 recession probability estimates.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 23, 2023 US debt Ceiling | AI Chatbots | GS vs USB Long shares in Goldman Sachs (GS) and short US Bancorp (USB).... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 19, 2023 US Bancorp | GS Marcus | PIMCO MM fund Lessons from Goldman Sachs Marcus woes and banking regulation.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 19, 2023 US Banks | Unnamed entity independently identified We also examine the new Apple-Goldman Sachs high interest savings account.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 18, 2023 De-dollarization | Changing nexus in commodity prices? A recent BIS paper looks at the change in correlation between commodity prices and the US dollar. We evaluate whether this shift in paradigm is temporary or permanent.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 14, 2023 US intel leak | Markets | GSWMChatGPT Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me Forgot Password... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 13, 2023 AI | ChatGPT meets Goldman for a long chat We used the GT4 large language model to retrieve questions from the Goldman Sachs Private Wealth Management 2023 outlook.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 12, 2023 CPI Summary | ChatGPT | Google AI We attempted to teach ChatGPT4 about the relationship between stock and bonds.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report April 11, 2023 US Banks | How much deposit outflows to expect? We estimate another $400-500 billion of despots will leave the US bank over the next year.... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
