GSWM | GeoRisk: YELLOW, Down From AMBER

Yellow to match the quesadilla traders…
Campaign begins in two-front battle for Takaichi’s future

Beginning of Japan 2026 general election coverage
Tobias Harris: Japan Election Polls | US-Iran-Israel

Forget the kabuki theatre between the U.S., Iran, and Israel
Five uncertainties as lower house dissolved

Takaichi and LDP projecting confidence – the latter raised its victory line to an absolute majority of its own
Ruling and opposition parties avoid tradeoffs in manifestos

Takaichi will not pivot on fiscal policy absent extraordinary market pressure
US-Iran-Israel | Feelings, Theories & Speculation

All might not be as it appears…
Challenges await as Japan mobilizes for 8 February election

Victory for Takaichi and the LDP could depend on a large increase in turnout
Japan | Opposition merger talks show Takaichi is not the only risk taker

The wheels for a snap election in motion, but the prospect of an opposition merger could make the contest more competitive.
Takaichi readies the snap election card

Takaichi decides in favor of an early election
AMBER ALERT: Lowered from RED | Iran-Israel

Still a very fluid and tense situation…