US Bancorp | GS Marcus | PIMCO MM fund

Lessons from Goldman Sachs Marcus woes and banking regulation.
De-dollarization | Changing nexus in commodity prices?

A recent BIS paper looks at the change in correlation between commodity prices and the US dollar. We evaluate whether this shift in paradigm is temporary or permanent.
US intel leak | Markets | GSWMChatGPT
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US Banks | How much deposit outflows to expect?

We estimate another $400-500 billion of despots will leave the US bank over the next year.
Fed Balance Sheet | What’s this thing?

Who drew on the full $60 billion allotment of the FIMA facility?
FOMC | ‘Hold my beer’ bets

Is it safe to come out now? Probably not.
Inflation | Yield curve | Iranian spy balloons

Yield curve dis-inverts and inflation expectations decline ahead of today’s CPI release.
Weekly summary | Take it and run!
It’s better to be lucky than clever
Fed | Balance sheet & my waistline

Correlation does not guarantee causation.
Big Bear capitulates | US rates

Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson finally capitulates on bearish S&P 500 call