Europe April 28, 2021 RUSSIA: Subsiding tensions do not eliminate risks abroad and at home Politics, Russia, Ukraine editorial Andrius Tursa Russia’s pullback of troops deescalates tensions along the border with Ukraine, but the situation remains volatile. Diplomatic efforts to advance the resolution of the conflict in Donbas are expected to intensify in... Read More...
Europe April 16, 2021 RUSSIA: US sanctions could escalate tensions with Ukraine Politics, Russia, Ukraine editorial Andrius Tursa The new restrictions imposed by the US on 15 April will not significantly affect the Russian economy or its public finances but will push relations between Moscow and Washington to a... Read More...
Europe April 15, 2021 RUSSIA: Sabre-rattling might prove counterproductive for Moscow Politics, Russia, Ukraine Andrius Tursa The proposed US-Russia bilateral summit might help deescalate tensions in eastern Ukraine but will not bring a political solution to the conflict in Donbas. Moscow’s saber-rattling appears counterproductive on the international... Read More...
Europe April 8, 2021 RUSSIA/UKRAINE: Renewed war with Ukraine would bring few benefits to Moscow Politics, Russia, Ukraine Andrius Tursa Russia’s saber-rattling near Donbas and Crimea is likely driven by Kyiv’s actions against pro-Kremlin figures/entities in Ukraine, the growing tensions between Moscow and the West as well as domestic... Read More...
Press Reports March 16, 2021 Local reports of Russia/Ukraine armed tensions continue Emerging Markets, Politics, Russia, Ukraine Original Press Release in Ukranian Machine English Translation: Summary of the press service of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine on the situation in... Read More...
Europe February 24, 2021 RUSSIA: Vaccine diplomacy overshadows domestic immunization campaign Emerging Markets, Politics, Russia vaccines Andrius Tursa Russia is relying on vaccine diplomacy to bolster its reputation abroad amid deteriorating relations with the West and looming threat of sanctions. Low public trust in domestic vaccines from Covid-19, their production... Read More...
Europe February 4, 2021 RUSSIA: Navalny’s sidelining weakens both opposition and Putin Emerging Markets, Politics, Russia Navalny Andrius Tursa The sentencing of the Kremlin critic Alexey Navalny leaves the country’s opposition without its most effective leader. While the protest momentum will likely fade amid limited prospects to achieve political change... Read More...
Europe January 27, 2021 RUSSIA: Quick sanctions over protests and Navalny’s arrest unlikely Emerging Markets, Politics, Russia sanctions, Navalny Protests across Russia are likely to continue until the resolution of Alexey Navalny's case. This puts the Kremlin in a challenging position to limit Navalny's influence and constrain the... Read More...
Europe October 1, 2020 CAUCASUS: Escalation in fighting unlikely to turn into a regional conflict Caucasus, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), Politics, Russia, Turkey Andrius Tursa, Wolfango Piccoli Renewed clashes in Nagorno-Karabakh are not expected to evolve into a wider conflict despite Turkey’s backing of Azerbaijan and Russia’s close ties with Armenia. Geopolitical considerations and economic constraints on both sides... Read More...
June 25, 2020 RUSSIA: Nationwide vote to legitimize Putin’s post-2024 plans Emerging Markets, Politics, Russia nord stream 2, editorial Andrius Tursa Russians are expected to approve more than 200 changes to the 1993 Russian constitution in the postponed nationwide poll taking place between 25 June and 1 July. Voters have an option... Read More...
