Macro Series September 23, 2021 Germany – economic challenges for the new government Germany, Macro, Politics elections Michael Heise In a number of respects the German economy is in a good position after 16 years of Mrs MerkelBut there are problems too, including slow growth that is unduly dependent on exportsSecuring good future performance will require that policy... Read More...
Europe September 22, 2021 GERMANY: What to watch on and beyond election night Germany, Politics Carsten Nickel Ahead of the 26 September Bundestag elections, the overall polling picture remains unchanged. At around 25%, the Social Democrats (SPD) of Finance Minister Olaf Scholz continue to lead ahead of Armin Laschet’s Christian alliance (CDU/CSU) – even if the... Read More...
Europe September 13, 2021 GERMANY: Two risks to a Scholz chancellorship Germany, Politics Carsten Nickel Yesterday’s (12 September) main debate of the three chancellor candidates was watched by more than 10mn people and produced few surprises. Finance Minister Olaf Scholz from the Social Democrats (SPD) won the debate in the eyes of 41% the... Read More...
Europe September 8, 2021 GERMANY: Desperate debates about the Left Germany, Politics Carsten Nickel Less than three weeks ahead of the Bundestag elections, the Social Democrats (SPD) of Finance Minister Olaf Scholz continue to build out their lead in the polls. The TV debate among the three chancellor candidates on 12 September might... Read More...
Europe August 26, 2021 GERMANY: The rise and rise of the SPD – Implications Germany, Politics Carsten Nickel Just over a month ahead of the 26 September Bundestag elections, momentum for the Social Democrats (SPD) appears to be growing. Their chancellor candidate, Finance Minister Olaf Scholz, has long been the most popular of the three contenders. Now,... Read More...
Europe August 19, 2021 GERMANY: Beyond the Afghanistan disaster, a migration debate might loom Germany, Politics Carsten Nickel Amid Berlin’s badly delayed evacuation mission for Afghanistan, centrist parties seem to have decided that looking ill-prepared is preferable to a conversation about Germany’s foreign and migration policies of the last decades. In a somewhat nonchalant demeanor, Chancellor Angela... Read More...
Europe August 12, 2021 GERMANY: Austere kingmakers? Germany, Politics Carsten Nickel With just over six weeks to go until the 26 September Bundestag elections, opinion polls suggest that the next government might, for the first time, have to be made up of three partners. A three-way coalition was already the... Read More...
Europe August 5, 2021 GERMANY: It’s the pandemic, stupid! Germany, Politics Carsten Nickel The Greens are trying to regain momentum for their campaign with the promise of a climate protection ministry. It would be equipped with the same cabinet veto power as the finance ministry. As discussed in the aftermath of the... Read More...
Europe July 21, 2021 GERMANY: Flood catastrophe – electoral implications Germany, Politics Carsten Nickel After last weekend’s flood catastrophe in western parts of the country, much of the commentary has focused on comparisons with similar events in 2013 and in 2002, and their effects on the elections in these years. There is a... Read More...
Europe July 15, 2021 GERMANY: Geopolitical prospects beyond Merkel Germany, Politics editorial Carsten Nickel Chancellor Angela Merkel has arrived in Washington for her first official visit since the inauguration of US President Joe Biden. At the same time, this is likely to be Merkel’s final trip to the US before her 16 years at... Read More...
