US rates | NVIDIA | Our best guess on earnings
Our best guess on NVIDIA earnings and what equity analysts’ channel checks might be missing
Quick market comment | Aug 18th, 2023
A quick market signal and clarification on a previous update.
LK-99 | US stocks, rates & inflation
Why US bond yields keep rising. LK-99 is not a superconductor, but an insulator
Hatzius on US economy & rates | Alan Brazil on US stocks | Feynman on Manhattan Project
The latest views from Goldman’s chief economist on the US economy and interest rates. Alan Brail on why he’s (still) short US equities. Richard Feynman lecture on his time at Los Alamos working on the Manhattan Project
Why I am Still Short US Equities
Well, I am still short US equities, though, by the end of the week, I may be alone in this recommendation. Other analysts recommended shorting equities have been tarred, feathered, and forced to retract their advice in the face of the continued rally in equities. I’ve had a few of my clients questioning my sanity as well. So, why am I still short?
US equities | Big bear capitulates
Mike Wilson of Morgan Stanley and Marko Kolanovic at JP Morgan both capitulate on shorts… finally!
Market outlook | Superforecasters vs. Domain Experts
A near miss avoided again. Anticipating the next excuse by trapped shorts
Buy S&P Puts—Equity Rally Overdone
My last piece on buying S&P puts
Weather | Why the Wall Street thesis is flawed
Why Wall Street strategists keep missing forecasts
CPI | US Equities | Market technicals
Momentum indicators suggest S&P 500 is close to overbought territory.