report October 15, 2026 BoJ’s Koeda Points to a Longer Hiking Cycle Her potential-growth example implies a neutral rate around 2.8%, above the Bank's published 2.5% ceiling and well above today's 1.25% policy rate... By Takuji Okubo Japan Macro Advisors
report October 15, 2026 The Great Yen Rebalancing GPIF, households and the FDI: The capital outflow that sank the yen for 15 years are now rebalancing back to yen... By Takuji Okubo Japan Macro Advisors
report October 14, 2026 The BoJ Has Reasons Not to Hike Too Soon Bank loan growth is showing an early sign of moderation. Higher debt service costs affect SMEs disproportionally. The BoJ has good reason to be patient before the next hike... By Takuji Okubo Japan Macro Advisors
report October 10, 2026 Japan Inc. Now Sells No Yen to Invest Abroad Earnings on Japan’s foreign direct investment (FDI) reached 103% of new FDI in 2022–25. With dividends and retained earnings counted together, Japan Inc. now need to sell little yen to invest abroad... By Takuji Okubo Japan Macro Advisors
report October 5, 2026 Higher Rates For Longer Is A Return to Normal, But Markets Are Not Priced For Normal–Part 2 Normalizing Rates, Disjointed Markets: A Q4 2026 Outlook... By Alan Brazil SOM Macro Strategies
report October 4, 2026 Tokyo CPI Jump Wont Bring Forward a BoJ Hike Tokyo inflation rose, but the BoJ remains focused on underlying trends, delaying rate hikes until 2027... By Takuji Okubo Japan Macro Advisors
report September 16, 2026 US Economy | FOMC Preview A few random points, if not already obvious, are worth highlighting... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report September 4, 2026 Using PSI to predict the next BoJ policy decision BoJ will decide its policy on September 18. In this article, I read each board member through Policy Stance Indicator and explain the likely outcome, 7-2 for hike.... By Takuji Okubo Japan Macro Advisors
report September 4, 2026 BoJ Policy Stance Indicator — The Primer BoJ-PSI assesses the policy stance of each board member at every meeting and every speech. It uses text analysis to attribute anonymous remarks in the BoJ minutes to individual members.... By Takuji Okubo Japan Macro Advisors
report August 22, 2026 We Don’t Judge Canada by Its Gross Debt Gross debt to GDP ratio is over-rated as a key fiscal indicator. I explain why a gross debt ratio can mislead, least of all the "Japan’s 250% debt to GDP" slogan... By Takuji Okubo Japan Macro Advisors
