Miguel A. Kiguel

Miguel-Kiguel
Dr Miguel Kiguel is one of Argentina's most influential economists of this time and founder of Econviews. He is based in Buenos Aires, Argentina.

Background

Miguel A. Kiguel holds a degree in Economics from the University of Buenos Aires (1976) and a Ph. D. from Columbia University (1983).

He is currently Executive Director of Econviews. He teaches at Universidad Di Tella, and is an Academic Advisor at FIEL.

He was president of Banco Hipotecario S.A, Undersecretary of Finance and Chief Advisor to the Minister of the Economy of Argentina, Deputy General Manager for Economics and Finance at the Central Bank of Argentina, Principal Economist at the World Bank, and was an Associate at the Institute for International Economics in Washington DC.

He was Assistant Professor at the University of Maryland, 1983-87, and an adjunct Professor at Georgetown University and taught at CEMA University.

He has conducted research activities in different areas, such as inflation, and stabilization policies, exchange rate and monetary policy, and on financial markets. His books and academic papers on macroeconomics, inflation, monetary policy, and on financial markets have been published in the USA, Europe and in several Latin American countries.

Recently, he has published the book “Las crisis económicas argentinas: una historia de ajustes y desajustes” in collaboration with Sebastian Kiguel (Editorial Sudamericana).

Argentina: The Summer Ends Without Surprises

( 4 mins) Contrary to what the turbulent Argentine history of summer crises could foretell, the summer is ending more calmly than expected. The exchange rate spreads fell, the dollar did not jump sharply and activity is on

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Argentina: Glass Half Empty or Half Full?

( < 1 min) Special Analysis on the Provinces’ Fiscal and Debt Situation We are happy to celebrate the 200 th edition of Econviews’ monthly report. Appropriately, our first edition in September 2003 centered on the ongoing debt restructuration,

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Argentina: The Wrong Medicine Against Inflation

( 3 mins) Controlling inflation has become a priority for the government on the road to elections. The high records of December and January, which are unlikely to recede much in February, have accelerated the search for recipes

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Argentina: Income Tax Populism

( 3 mins) Last week, the government presented a bill to modify the income tax paid by individuals that is a step back from many angles. The central idea is that just over half of the salaried workers

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Argentina: Never Ending Restrictions

( 4 mins) Since November 2011, Argentina has lived with financial restrictions except for three and a half years, from the beginning of 2016 to September 2019. The perspective is that it will have many more years of

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Argentina: The Tailwind and the Deficit

( 4 mins) With the vaccination processes underway in most of the world, the general feeling is that the worst of the pandemic is behind us, although there is a way to go that will probably take much

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Argentina: Watch Out for the Summer!

( 4 mins) Those who are “at-risk groups” will remember February 6, 1989: that day the Plan Primavera in times of José Luis Machinea and Juan Sourrouille blew up. Convertibility began in April 1991 and was the product

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Argentina: Diluted stabilization plan

( 2 mins) RECENT DEVELOPMENTS Worldwide, states must deal with shortages, bottlenecks and other logistical issues in the effort to vaccinate their populations against Covid-19. Argentina has applied around 200,000 shots of the Sputnik V vaccine, ahead of

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Argentina: Diluted stabilization plan

( 4 mins) Last Friday Alberto Fernández, Cristina Kirchner, Sergio Massa, Axel Kicillof, Máximo Kirchner, among other leaders of the governing coalition, gathered in La Plata to rename a football stadium after Diego Maradona. In terms of Argentine

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Argentina: Deficit and inflation in 2021

( 4 mins) The monthly survey of market expectations carried out by the Central Bank among 42 economic teams revealed that the median of the responses is 50% inflation for next year. If the most optimistic and pessimistic

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Argentina: Agreement Still Far Away, Busy Summer

( 4 mins) The International Monetary Fund mission left Argentina last weekend. The official statement published on Friday by the Washington-based organization suggests that an agreement between the two parties is still distant. In its very particular language,

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China realiza el 44% de sus pagos internacionales en RMBs -su propia moneda- (el uso de RMBs era "0" hace 11 años). En ese mismo período el uso de U$S (para pagos internacionales de China) pasó de 85% a 51%.

"La baja de la depreciación esperada tiene que ver con algunas señales políticas de cara al año electoral." @kiguel @IAEF_oficial
https://www.baenegocios.com/finanzas/Con-dolar-mas-calmo-las-condiciones-financieras-argentinas-repuntaron-por-tercer-mes-consecutivo-en-enero-20210218-0051.html

@Itemplado @cynmoskovits @nusus @guillermo_mkhh @RosendoFraga1 @Fundacion_FIEL @ArtanaDaniel @kiguel @rlopezmurphy @Fundacion_FIEL-FIEL La actividad industrial cerró 2020 con una caída de 5.5% encadenando tres años de retroceso. Febrero de 2021-https://la5pata.com/2021/02/24/fiel-la-actividad-industrial-cerro-2020-con-una-caida-de-5-5-encadenando-tres-anos-de-retroceso-febrero-de-2021/

"El ahorrista minorista le está perdiendo miedo a los instrumentos #indexados y se está animando a salir del plazo fijo tradicional. Y esto está ayudando a moderar el excedente de pesos típico de principios de año, sin necesidad de haber subido las tasas." @lore_giorgio https://twitter.com/JavierBlancoOK/status/1363989834398851072

Javier Blanco@JavierBlancoOK

Crecen 20% por mes en el primer bimestre
La aceleración inflacionaria generó un boom de plazos fijos indexados http://www.lanacion.com.ar/2610026 a través de @LANACION

[ACTIVIDAD ECONÓMICA]

🔸En diciembre avanzó 0.9% m/m s.e., cerrando el año con una caída de 10.0%

🔸La recuperación continúa, pero queda un largo camino: el nivel de dic-20 fue 3.5% menor al de ene-20 y semejante al de abr-08

🔸La economía recuperaría su nivel de 2019 en 2023

- Si la paritaria es sin techo, ¿por qué no alentar a gremios a pedir un alza de 100% así chau recesión (70% del PBI es consumo)?

- Si se dice que la emisión no importa, ¿por qué no emitir el doble?

- Si el déficit fiscal es bueno, ¿por qué no expandir al infinito y más allá?

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