Central Bank Research Hub Statedependent fiscal multipliers and financial dynamics An impulse response analysis by local projections for South Africa August 16, 2021
report January 23, 2026 Five uncertainties as lower house dissolved Takaichi and LDP projecting confidence – the latter raised its victory line to an absolute majority of its own... By Tobias Harris Japan Foresight
report January 23, 2026 As Ueda stalls, MOF grabs the spotlight BoJ overshadowed by signs of intervention by Japanese and US authorities... By Tobias Harris Japan Foresight
report January 22, 2026 Ruling and opposition parties avoid tradeoffs in manifestos Takaichi will not pivot on fiscal policy absent extraordinary market pressure... By Tobias Harris Japan Foresight
report January 19, 2026 US-Iran-Israel | Feelings, Theories & Speculation All might not be as it appears...... By Alessio Farhadi Speevr Intelligence
report January 19, 2026 Challenges await as Japan mobilizes for 8 February election Victory for Takaichi and the LDP could depend on a large increase in turnout... By Tobias Harris Japan Foresight