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CHINA: Signs of disagreement over monetary tightening and housing bubble risks

CHINA: Signs of disagreement over monetary tightening and housing bubble risks | Speevr

There are signs of disagreement among policymakers about how much to tighten monetary policy, with an influential voice warning that excessive tightening could trigger a sharp drop in housing prices. The proper role of monetary policy in restraining housing speculation has…   Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail […]

SOUTHEAST ASIA: The emerging shape of inbound tourism policies through end 2021

SOUTHEAST ASIA: The emerging shape of inbound tourism policies through end 2021 | Speevr

As vaccinations have started to proceed apace in many of the region’s top tourism markets in the west, countries are putting more details into their plans for reopening travel. Many of the countries already have existing arrangements to receive returning citizens, investors, teac…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

PERU: A fight for who will face Lescano?

PERU: A fight for who will face Lescano? | Speevr

The first round of the presidential election is now 17 days away. Below is a summary of the state of the race, recent key developments, and their implications. Many voters remain uninterested in the election campaign as they grapple with the economic fallout from the pandemic …   Become a member to read the rest […]

BRAZIL: Presidential photo-op will not suffice to appease political leaders

BRAZIL: Presidential photo-op will not suffice to appease political leaders | Speevr

President Jair Bolsonaro did not restrain his anger when speaking on the subject of the pandemic following the episode of the change at the helm of the health ministry. Since then, he has in fact filed a case at the Supreme Court (STF) against governors that implement curfews to …   Become a member to […]

EUROPE: CEE PULSE

EUROPE: CEE PULSE | Speevr

Most Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) countries are struggling to cope with the so-called third wave of the pandemic. The soaring infection, hospitalization, and death rates have forced Poland’s government to tighten nationwide restrictions starting 27 March. Ukraine might soon f…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching

EUROPE: Managing the pandemic – what we are watching | Speevr

This updated weekly piece provides snapshots of how selected European governments are dealing with the ongoing Covid-19 pandemic. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail. Graph of the week France – The number …   Become a member to read the rest […]

GERMANY: Hopes for greater post-election spending, the Green edition

GERMANY: Hopes for greater post-election spending, the Green edition | Speevr

The budgetary outlook envisages further borrowing this year and in 2022 but promises a return to the debt brake in 2023. Green talk of scrapping the debt brake to allow for major investments contrasts with the party’s inclination to forming a coalition with the fiscally pr…   Become a member to read the rest of […]

KOREAN PENINSULA: New administration works to strengthen cooperation with Seoul

KOREAN PENINSULA: New administration works to strengthen cooperation with Seoul | Speevr

North Korea fired what appeared to be two short-range ballistic missiles – possibly its solid-fueled KN-23, which it tested multiple times in 2019 – on Thursday, 25 March. The test launches, the first since US President Joe Biden entered office, followed statements from Pyongyang…   Become a member to read the rest of this article

Congruent financial regulation

Congruent financial regulation | Speevr

The turmoil that roiled financial markets after the first COVID-19 lockdowns in March 2020 underscores the need to better coordinate regulation of economically similar financial activities, whether inside or outside the banking system, according to a paper discussed at the Brookings Papers on Economic Activity (BPEA) conference on March 25.

The paper—Congruent financial regulation by Andrew Metrick of Yale University and Daniel K. Tarullo of Harvard University—notes that banks last year proved to be a source of stability thanks to the more-rigorous standards enacted after the 2007-2009 financial crisis. But, they write, financial markets and less-regulated non-bank institutions (such as hedge funds, brokerage firms, and money market mutual funds) remain vulnerable in the United States’ patchwork regulatory system, so much so that at the start of the pandemic “the Federal Reserve felt it had no choice but to use its emergency powers to create an astonishing range of market-supporting measures.”
Non-bank financial institutions and associated funding markets “constitute a large and growing component of the global financial system,” the authors write. “But regulation has not kept up with this growth.” For instance, money market mutual fund participation in repo transactions (a form of short-term borrowing collateralized by Treasury securities) cleared through the lightly regulated Fixed Income Clearing Corporation has risen from nothing before 2017 to more than $250 billion in early 2020.

Congress appears unlikely to make regulation more consistent by consolidating financial regulatory agencies or by strengthening the authority of the Treasury-led Financial Stability Oversight Council (FSOC)—and both actions would raise significant policy issues in any case, they authors write. Thus, the agencies should collaboratively work toward an “overarching congruence principle.”
“Our proposed principle would be applied through imposing regulation based on the substantive nature of the intermediation. … It calls for regulation to be congruent, not necessarily identical,” they write.
The authors examine two case studies to illustrate the role played by non-bank financial institutions: the financing of non-prime mortgages (mortgages for borrowers with weak credit records) and the Treasury securities market at the start of the COVID pandemic. And they offer an example of how their congruence principle could work in the repo market. They would align bank-capital requirements with the rules for margining at clearinghouses and haircuts for bilateral repo transactions.
FSOC has 11 member-agencies, and the authors acknowledge that the “prospect of protracted inter-agency negotiations is hardly encouraging.” But, they conclude, “inter-agency processes in which the Treasury and Fed have the legal authority to take leadership is superior to the currently available alternatives.”
“You don’t have to have a kumbaya moment among all 11 FSOC members,” Metrick said in an interview with The Brookings Institution.
The authors write that the freezing of financial markets last March suggests there is “enough consensus to sustain momentum for a regulatory response.”
“I have more optimism now—not huge optimism—that something could get done than at any point in the past,” Metrick said.

Citation
Metrick, Andrew and Daniel K. Tarullo. 2021. “Congruent Financial Regulation.” BPEA Conference Draft, Spring.
Conflict of Interest Disclosure
The authors did not receive financial support from any firm or person for this article or from any firm or person with a financial or political interest in this paper. They are currently not officers, directors, or board members of any organization with an interest in this paper. Discussant Hyun Song Shin is an Economic Adviser and Head of Research at the Bank for International Settlements, which had the right to review his work.