Higher For Longer– Sell-off In The Long-End Is Not Done
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US rates | Who called it right… and what next?
A roundup of where we stand, where we came from, and where we’re heading next
Hatzius on US economy & rates | Alan Brazil on US stocks | Feynman on Manhattan Project
The latest views from Goldman’s chief economist on the US economy and interest rates. Alan Brail on why he’s (still) short US equities. Richard Feynman lecture on his time at Los Alamos working on the Manhattan Project
BoJ | Big Tech & Capex | Bond yields & inflation
Big Tech has delivered on the AI hype. Beware the US Treasury pain trade ahead.
Why I am Still Short US Equities
Well, I am still short US equities, though, by the end of the week, I may be alone in this recommendation. Other analysts recommended shorting equities have been tarred, feathered, and forced to retract their advice in the face of the continued rally in equities. I’ve had a few of my clients questioning my sanity as well. So, why am I still short?
Quants | Hedge fund allocators | Research | Rising stocks & bond yields
An easy way to weed out stale silent shorts. Why are quant funds more successful than most discretionary managers. How to value high quality investment research.
NPCs | Wall Street non-player characters
The latest human-NPC character phenomenon has been around on Wall Street for many years
US equities | Big bear capitulates
Mike Wilson of Morgan Stanley and Marko Kolanovic at JP Morgan both capitulate on shorts… finally!
US equities | Martin Wolf | 100 trials for 100 days at $100
46 spot taken and 54 left for the 100 day Speevr trial offer
US equities | Why are stocks up again?
What makes a ‘good’ market contra-indicator? S&P 500 re-enters overbought territory