Higher For Longer– Sell-off In The Long-End Is Not Done
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US rates | Who called it right… and what next?
A roundup of where we stand, where we came from, and where we’re heading next
Hatzius on US economy & rates | Alan Brazil on US stocks | Feynman on Manhattan Project
The latest views from Goldman’s chief economist on the US economy and interest rates. Alan Brail on why he’s (still) short US equities. Richard Feynman lecture on his time at Los Alamos working on the Manhattan Project
BoJ | Big Tech & Capex | Bond yields & inflation
Big Tech earnings have delivered on the AI hype. ‘Pain trade’ on US Treasuries is for higher yields
Why I am Still Short US Equities
Well, I am still short US equities, though, by the end of the week, I may be alone in this recommendation. Other analysts recommended shorting equities have been tarred, feathered, and forced to retract their advice in the face of the continued rally in equities. I’ve had a few of my clients questioning my sanity as well. So, why am I still short?
Quants | Hedge fund allocators | Research | Rising stocks & bond yields
An easy way to weed out stale silent shorts. Why are quant funds more successful than most discretionary managers. How to value high quality investment research.
US equities | Why are stocks up again?
What makes a ‘good’ market contra-indicator? S&P 500 re-enters overbought territory
China stimulus | Rising SST | LinkedIn jobs | AI supremacy
Hindsight analysts once again prove as useful as Anne Frank’s drum kit. This time with a less silly investment thesis. LinkedIn labor market data. China stimulus. Econ 101 exam. Trader’s classification revisited.
US equities | Who called it right (so far) this year
How would you do in an Econ 101 exam today? Brett Nelson and team at GSWM made the most accurate forecasts for 2023.
Trade Book 2023 Q3: The Coming Rebound In The Housing Market And Inflation
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