Russia-Ukraine | Wagner forces under attack by Russian Army
A rapidly evolving situation is unfolding near the city of Rostov in Russia, with reports on social media suggesting that the Russian Army has launched airstrikes against a group of 20,000 Wagner soldiers led by Yevgeny Prigozhin. What we know so… Become a member to read the rest of this article Username or E-mail Password Remember Me Forgot […]
Russia-Ukraine | Kosovo-Serbia
New CSIS study reveals weakness in Russian fortifications ahead of Ukrainian counteroffensive. Why tensions between Kosovo and Serbia led us to raise the alarm a month ago.
Russia-Ukraine | Who’s behind the Kremlin done attacks?
ISW assesses Kremlin drone attack as a false flag operation to stoke public sentiment ahead of Victory Day celebrations.
RUSSIA/UKRAINE: US-German deal on Nord Stream 2 gives Moscow leverage over Kyiv
The US-German agreement allowing the completion of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline represents a political victory for Moscow. Nord Stream 2 is expected to substantially lower Russian gas shipments through Ukraine after 2024 thereby limiting Kyiv’s revenue from transit and heigh… Become a member to read the rest of this article
RUSSIA/UKRAINE: US-German deal on Nord Stream 2 gives Moscow leverage over Kyiv
The US-German agreement allowing the completion of the Nord Stream 2 pipeline represents a political victory for Moscow. Nord Stream 2 is expected to substantially lower Russian gas shipments through Ukraine after 2024 thereby limiting Kyiv’s revenue from transit and heigh… Become a member to read the rest of this article
RUSSIA: Subsiding tensions do not eliminate risks abroad and at home
Russia’s pullback of troops deescalates tensions along the border with Ukraine, but the situation remains volatile. Diplomatic efforts to advance the resolution of the conflict in Donbas are expected to intensify in the coming months. At home, the Kremlin will continue … Become a member to read the rest of this article
RUSSIA: US sanctions could escalate tensions with Ukraine
The new restrictions imposed by the US on 15 April will not significantly affect the Russian economy or its public finances but will push relations between Moscow and Washington to a new nadir. In response, Moscow could step up provocations in eastern Ukraine, which could result … Become a member to read the rest […]
RUSSIA: Sabre-rattling might prove counterproductive for Moscow
The proposed US-Russia bilateral summit might help deescalate tensions in eastern Ukraine but will not bring a political solution to the conflict in Donbas. Moscow’s saber-rattling appears counterproductive on the international front but could provide a temporary respite at home…. Become a member to read the rest of this article
RUSSIA/UKRAINE: Renewed war with Ukraine would bring few benefits to Moscow
Russia’s saber-rattling near Donbas and Crimea is likely driven by Kyiv’s actions against pro-Kremlin figures/entities in Ukraine, the growing tensions between Moscow and the West as well as domestic pressures within Russia. However, a major escalation of the conflict with U… Become a member to read the rest of this article
UKRAINE: Zelensky losing trust as reforms stall
The independence of anti-corruption agencies, reforms in the judiciary and the phase-out of energy subsidies are among the main prerequisites for the renewal of IMF lending. Quick reform progress appears unlikely due to limited political will and capacity to advance diff… Become a member to read the rest of this article