- The proposed rule of law mechanism in the EU remains ambiguous and will likely be postponed due to legal battles, which suits Budapest and Warsaw.
- The threat of financial sanctions could force Poland and Hungary to alter their policies directly linked to the EU funding but will not halt the illiberal drift in other areas.
The German EU Council presidency appears to have reached an agreement with Poland and Hungary that should allow passage of the bloc’s macro budget and the pandemic recovery fund when heads of state or government meet on 10-11 December.… Read the rest
- Poland and Hungary are unlikely to make significant concessions in the negotiations with the EU, at least in the near term.
- The rule-of-law talks could destabilize the wobbly United Right coalition government in Poland.
This piece provides an updated overview of the lockdown exit strategies currently being implemented by selected European governments, and the surrounding politics. Please do not hesitate to contact us if you want to discuss any of the countries mentioned in more detail.… Read the rest
The unspecified duration of the state of the emergency allows Prime Minister Viktor Orban (Fidesz) to exercise special powers longer than needed to handle the Covid-19 outbreak. While such powers could be used to silence government critics and prevent public demonstrations, Orban has limited incentives to take advantage of the situation for now.… Read the rest