Macroeconomic effects of Covid-19: a mid-term review

Macroeconomic effects of Covid-19: a mid-term review | Speevr

This article provides an interim assessment of the macroeconomic consequences of the Covid-19 pandemic. Estimates suggest a median output loss of about 6.5% in 2020, a gap that is expected to narrow to around 4% of the pre-pandemic trend by the end of 2021.

Sharing asymmetric tail risk: smoothing, asset pricing and terms of trade

Sharing asymmetric tail risk: smoothing, asset pricing and terms of trade | Speevr

Crises and tail events have asymmetric effects across borders, raising the value of arrangements improving insurance of macroeconomic risk. Using a two-country DSGE model, we provide an analytical and quantitative analysis of the channels through which countries gain from sharing (tail) risk.