Asia April 28, 2021 MYANMAR: Still at square one, even after ASEAN summit Myanmar, Emerging Markets, Politics Bob Herrera-Lim A statement released yesterday, 27 April, by the State Administrative Council (SAC), as the junta calls itself, hedged its cooperation with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) following a weekend... Read More...
Asia March 29, 2021 MYANMAR: Risks increase as junta seems set on breaking protest movement Myanmar, Emerging Markets, Politics Bob Herrera-Lim Security forces have intensified their use of force, possibly to break the back of the protest movement. However, there are no signs the standoff will end soon, and a successful crackdown by... Read More...
Asia March 3, 2021 MYANMAR: Political crossroads ahead, with the risk of more violence Myanmar, Emerging Markets, Politics Bob Herrera-Lim The demonstrations are frustrating the junta’s attempts to gain legitimacy. Both sides remain entrenched in their positions, which limits the possibility of a political compromise anytime soon. In several scenarios, the economic fallout... Read More...
Asia February 16, 2021 MYANMAR: Government crackdown could still intensify Myanmar, Emerging Markets, Politics Bob Herrera-Lim In its first press conference since taking power two weeks ago, the military today, 16 February, promised to hold elections and to hand over power to the winning party. However, the... Read More...
Asia February 4, 2021 MYANMAR: A decade comes undone Myanmar, Emerging Markets, Politics Bob Herrera-Lim The possibility of anti-coup protests and a harsh security reaction are the immediate near-term risks. The US government has threatened sanctions but is likely to find that formulating an effective response and... Read More...
Asia February 1, 2021 MYANMAR: A decade comes undone Myanmar, Emerging Markets, Politics Bob Herrera-Lim The state of emergency will last one year but what the military hopes to achieve in that period is unclear. The military may avoid interfering with economic policies and investments to temper... Read More...
Asia November 6, 2020 MYANMAR: No surprises expected in next week’s election Myanmar, Emerging Markets, Politics Bob Herrera-Lim Aung San Suu Kyi and her party remain popular domestically. Re-election will mean policy continuity, but whether the government can use some of its momentum for reforms remains to be seen. China’s role... Read More...
