US economy | Amundi | Talking gibberish

Confusing the AI with alternative facts
Israel-Hamas update | Financial advising

OSINT analysts more interested in the US economy than Israel-Hamas war
Falling Excess Savings Is A Red Herring, Consumers Will Continue to Spend

Falling excess savings is a red herring, consumers will continue to spend
NFP | CIA analysts training for cognitive bias

How CIA analysts reduce cognitive biases in their work
US Equities | Technicals look favorable

When you hear what you want to hear.
US Mortgages | Negative convexity hedging with swaptions

Relentless rates sell-off. Short gamma whipsawing ahead
US Mortgages | Negative rates convexity
More neutral on USD rates and swaption hedges
US rates | When doves cry

What government shutdown?
US debt | Estimating net Treasury supply for the rest of the year

Did we get under their skin or inside their heads?
FOMC | Keywords, phrases & narratives
Prices moves shape perceptions of reality